NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COOK CALBA
Points 63.9 71.3
Total Points   135.2
Points From 2-Pointers 39.4 30.0
Points From 3-Pointers 11.5 20.4
Points From Free Throws 13.0 20.9
Shooting COOK CALBA
Field Goals Made 23.6 21.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.2 51.4
Field Goal % 41.2% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.7 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 45.7 31.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.2% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 3.8 6.8
3 Pointers Attempted 11.6 19.7
3 Point Shooting % 33.3% 34.5%
Free Throws Made 13.0 20.9
Free Throws Attempted 17.1 30.0
Free Throw % 75.9% 69.6%
Ball Control COOK CALBA
Rebounds 29.9 40.9
Rebounds - Defensive 22.6 28.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 12.2
Turnovers 9.5 12.0
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.2
Steals 6.9 4.2
Fouls 18.9 14.2

Playing Style Advantage: Cal Baptist

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COOK CALBA
Total Possessions 69.9
Effective Scoring Chances 67.6 70.2
% of Possessions with COOK CALBA
2 Point Attempt 58.5% 37.9%
3 Point Attempt 14.8% 23.6%
Player Fouled 20.4% 27.0%
Turnover 13.6% 17.2%
Opponent Steal 6.1% 9.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken COOK CALBA
Shot Blocked 4.3% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 20.3% 35.1%