NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ACU SELA
Points 72.9 67.4
Total Points   140.3
Points From 2-Pointers 37.5 33.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 19.3
Points From Free Throws 14.0 14.3
Shooting ACU SELA
Field Goals Made 25.9 23.3
Field Goals Attempted 57.0 53.0
Field Goal % 45.4% 44.0%
2 Pointers Made 18.8 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 36.8 34.9
2 Point Shooting % 51.0% 48.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 6.4
3 Pointers Attempted 20.2 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 35.2% 35.7%
Free Throws Made 14.0 14.3
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 19.3
Free Throw % 73.4% 74.0%
Ball Control ACU SELA
Rebounds 31.7 34.9
Rebounds - Defensive 23.1 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 8.6 9.4
Turnovers 10.4 14.5
Blocked Shots 2.0 1.8
Steals 7.3 5.8
Fouls 15.1 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: Abl Christian

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ACU SELA
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.0 65.8
% of Possessions with ACU SELA
2 Point Attempt 45.9% 43.1%
3 Point Attempt 25.2% 22.3%
Player Fouled 22.0% 21.3%
Turnover 14.6% 20.4%
Opponent Steal 8.2% 10.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken ACU SELA
Shot Blocked 3.4% 3.5%
Offensive Rebound 25.2% 28.9%