NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring COOK PV
Points 74.7 68.0
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 40.3 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 14.5 11.6
Points From Free Throws 19.9 20.7
Shooting COOK PV
Field Goals Made 25.0 21.7
Field Goals Attempted 51.9 51.4
Field Goal % 48.1% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 20.1 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 38.1 39.1
2 Point Shooting % 52.9% 45.6%
3 Pointers Made 4.8 3.9
3 Pointers Attempted 13.8 12.3
3 Point Shooting % 35.0% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 19.9 20.7
Free Throws Attempted 26.2 29.4
Free Throw % 75.9% 70.5%
Ball Control COOK PV
Rebounds 35.5 29.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.8 20.9
Rebounds - Offensive 9.7 8.7
Turnovers 15.2 13.7
Blocked Shots 3.9 2.5
Steals 8.3 9.2
Fouls 20.5 17.4

Playing Style Advantage: Prairie View

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats COOK PV
Total Possessions 74.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.7 69.2
% of Possessions with COOK PV
2 Point Attempt 44.9% 46.2%
3 Point Attempt 16.3% 14.6%
Player Fouled 23.5% 27.6%
Turnover 20.5% 18.5%
Opponent Steal 12.4% 11.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken COOK PV
Shot Blocked 4.9% 7.6%
Offensive Rebound 31.8% 25.3%