NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAV FOR
Points 69.7 66.1
Total Points   135.8
Points From 2-Pointers 34.6 28.5
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 23.4
Points From Free Throws 18.3 14.1
Shooting DAV FOR
Field Goals Made 22.9 22.1
Field Goals Attempted 51.7 58.5
Field Goal % 44.4% 37.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 14.3
2 Pointers Attempted 34.5 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.1% 44.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 17.2 26.2
3 Point Shooting % 32.8% 29.7%
Free Throws Made 18.3 14.1
Free Throws Attempted 24.8 21.0
Free Throw % 73.6% 67.2%
Ball Control DAV FOR
Rebounds 35.2 37.0
Rebounds - Defensive 27.9 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.3 12.2
Turnovers 11.7 10.9
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.9
Steals 5.6 7.3
Fouls 15.2 18.6

Playing Style Advantage: Davidson

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAV FOR
Total Possessions 70.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.0 71.7
% of Possessions with DAV FOR
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 38.4%
3 Point Attempt 21.5% 31.2%
Player Fouled 26.5% 21.6%
Turnover 16.6% 15.6%
Opponent Steal 10.4% 7.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAV FOR
Shot Blocked 8.5% 7.3%
Offensive Rebound 22.8% 30.5%