NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KSU TTU
Points 70.5 73.9
Total Points   144.4
Points From 2-Pointers 35.7 32.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 23.4
Points From Free Throws 13.9 17.5
Shooting KSU TTU
Field Goals Made 24.8 24.3
Field Goals Attempted 55.9 59.6
Field Goal % 44.4% 40.7%
2 Pointers Made 17.9 16.5
2 Pointers Attempted 33.4 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.5% 46.3%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 7.8
3 Pointers Attempted 22.5 24.0
3 Point Shooting % 30.9% 32.5%
Free Throws Made 13.9 17.5
Free Throws Attempted 19.4 22.4
Free Throw % 71.9% 78.5%
Ball Control KSU TTU
Rebounds 37.1 34.8
Rebounds - Defensive 26.1 23.1
Rebounds - Offensive 11.0 11.7
Turnovers 12.8 8.9
Blocked Shots 3.7 2.7
Steals 4.3 6.9
Fouls 15.9 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Texas Tech

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KSU TTU
Total Possessions 70.3
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 73.1
% of Possessions with KSU TTU
2 Point Attempt 40.5% 42.6%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 28.8%
Player Fouled 21.1% 22.6%
Turnover 18.2% 12.6%
Opponent Steal 9.8% 6.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken KSU TTU
Shot Blocked 4.6% 6.7%
Offensive Rebound 32.3% 30.9%