NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH SJU
Points 64.9 76.2
Total Points   141.1
Points From 2-Pointers 28.5 41.5
Points From 3-Pointers 25.3 16.6
Points From Free Throws 11.1 18.1
Shooting UNH SJU
Field Goals Made 22.7 26.3
Field Goals Attempted 59.3 61.3
Field Goal % 38.2% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 14.3 20.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.3 43.6
2 Point Shooting % 45.6% 47.6%
3 Pointers Made 8.4 5.5
3 Pointers Attempted 28.0 17.7
3 Point Shooting % 30.0% 31.2%
Free Throws Made 11.1 18.1
Free Throws Attempted 16.3 25.4
Free Throw % 67.8% 71.5%
Ball Control UNH SJU
Rebounds 40.9 37.6
Rebounds - Defensive 30.4 28.8
Rebounds - Offensive 10.5 8.8
Turnovers 15.3 7.1
Blocked Shots 2.2 3.9
Steals 2.6 9.3
Fouls 16.5 15.0

Playing Style Advantage: N Hampshire

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH SJU
Total Possessions 74.8
Effective Scoring Chances 70.0 76.5
% of Possessions with UNH SJU
2 Point Attempt 36.0% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 32.3% 21.0%
Player Fouled 20.0% 22.1%
Turnover 20.5% 9.5%
Opponent Steal 12.4% 3.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH SJU
Shot Blocked 6.5% 3.7%
Offensive Rebound 26.7% 22.5%