NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH SJU
Points 64.7 88.2
Total Points   152.9
Points From 2-Pointers 27.4 53.0
Points From 3-Pointers 23.3 20.7
Points From Free Throws 13.9 14.5
Shooting UNH SJU
Field Goals Made 21.5 33.4
Field Goals Attempted 59.0 64.8
Field Goal % 36.4% 51.6%
2 Pointers Made 13.7 26.5
2 Pointers Attempted 35.1 42.8
2 Point Shooting % 39.1% 61.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.8 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 22.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.5% 31.4%
Free Throws Made 13.9 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 18.3 19.5
Free Throw % 76.0% 74.2%
Ball Control UNH SJU
Rebounds 28.9 44.3
Rebounds - Defensive 21.3 31.2
Rebounds - Offensive 7.6 13.1
Turnovers 13.0 9.4
Blocked Shots 1.2 8.0
Steals 5.9 7.6
Fouls 13.4 15.6

Playing Style Advantage: N Hampshire

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH SJU
Total Possessions 74.0
Effective Scoring Chances 68.6 77.7
% of Possessions with UNH SJU
2 Point Attempt 41.4% 48.9%
3 Point Attempt 28.2% 25.1%
Player Fouled 21.1% 18.2%
Turnover 17.5% 12.7%
Opponent Steal 10.3% 8.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH SJU
Shot Blocked 12.4% 2.1%
Offensive Rebound 19.6% 38.0%