NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring ACU UNLV
Points 64.4 78.3
Total Points   142.7
Points From 2-Pointers 34.5 44.8
Points From 3-Pointers 15.9 16.9
Points From Free Throws 14.0 16.6
Shooting ACU UNLV
Field Goals Made 22.6 28.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.7 53.5
Field Goal % 39.8% 52.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.3 22.4
2 Pointers Attempted 40.2 37.7
2 Point Shooting % 43.0% 59.4%
3 Pointers Made 5.3 5.6
3 Pointers Attempted 16.5 15.7
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 35.8%
Free Throws Made 14.0 16.6
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 22.7
Free Throw % 73.4% 73.0%
Ball Control ACU UNLV
Rebounds 29.3 36.4
Rebounds - Defensive 20.1 27.5
Rebounds - Offensive 9.2 8.9
Turnovers 11.2 11.4
Blocked Shots 2.0 4.0
Steals 6.4 5.2
Fouls 16.8 14.4

Playing Style Advantage: Abl Christian

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats ACU UNLV
Total Possessions 70.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 67.8
% of Possessions with ACU UNLV
2 Point Attempt 49.6% 47.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.4% 19.7%
Player Fouled 20.5% 23.9%
Turnover 15.9% 16.2%
Opponent Steal 7.4% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken ACU UNLV
Shot Blocked 7.6% 3.6%
Offensive Rebound 25.0% 30.8%