NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring KSU WICH
Points 74.3 66.8
Total Points   141.1
Points From 2-Pointers 37.2 38.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.1 15.5
Points From Free Throws 15.1 13.1
Shooting KSU WICH
Field Goals Made 26.0 24.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.6 62.3
Field Goal % 43.5% 38.9%
2 Pointers Made 18.6 19.1
2 Pointers Attempted 36.6 44.3
2 Point Shooting % 50.7% 43.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 23.0 18.0
3 Point Shooting % 32.1% 28.7%
Free Throws Made 15.1 13.1
Free Throws Attempted 20.9 18.8
Free Throw % 71.9% 69.7%
Ball Control KSU WICH
Rebounds 40.8 36.8
Rebounds - Defensive 28.9 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 11.8 11.9
Turnovers 11.4 10.3
Blocked Shots 4.6 4.1
Steals 6.0 7.1
Fouls 13.5 15.1

Playing Style Advantage: Kansas St

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats KSU WICH
Total Possessions 72.1
Effective Scoring Chances 72.6 73.7
% of Possessions with KSU WICH
2 Point Attempt 42.8% 51.6%
3 Point Attempt 26.9% 21.0%
Player Fouled 20.9% 18.7%
Turnover 15.8% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 9.9% 8.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken KSU WICH
Shot Blocked 6.8% 7.9%
Offensive Rebound 32.2% 29.1%