NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring DAV RICH
Points 63.8 67.7
Total Points   131.5
Points From 2-Pointers 31.5 34.0
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 21.4
Points From Free Throws 11.5 12.3
Shooting DAV RICH
Field Goals Made 22.7 24.1
Field Goals Attempted 57.1 54.3
Field Goal % 39.8% 44.4%
2 Pointers Made 15.7 17.0
2 Pointers Attempted 33.5 33.9
2 Point Shooting % 47.0% 50.2%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.1
3 Pointers Attempted 23.5 20.4
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 11.5 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 15.6 17.2
Free Throw % 73.6% 71.6%
Ball Control DAV RICH
Rebounds 36.2 33.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 27.9
Rebounds - Offensive 8.5 5.1
Turnovers 9.7 8.7
Blocked Shots 2.9 2.6
Steals 4.7 5.8
Fouls 14.3 13.0

Playing Style Advantage: Richmond

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats DAV RICH
Total Possessions 67.8
Effective Scoring Chances 66.7 64.2
% of Possessions with DAV RICH
2 Point Attempt 43.3% 45.7%
3 Point Attempt 30.4% 27.6%
Player Fouled 19.1% 21.1%
Turnover 14.3% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 6.9%
Odds Per Shot Taken DAV RICH
Shot Blocked 4.9% 5.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.4% 15.6%