NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UNH BU
Points 70.9 68.8
Total Points   139.7
Points From 2-Pointers 27.3 34.9
Points From 3-Pointers 28.9 22.7
Points From Free Throws 14.8 11.1
Shooting UNH BU
Field Goals Made 23.3 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.3 59.3
Field Goal % 42.1% 42.2%
2 Pointers Made 13.6 17.4
2 Pointers Attempted 28.2 34.1
2 Point Shooting % 48.4% 51.1%
3 Pointers Made 9.6 7.6
3 Pointers Attempted 27.1 25.1
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 30.2%
Free Throws Made 14.8 11.1
Free Throws Attempted 19.5 15.4
Free Throw % 76.0% 72.2%
Ball Control UNH BU
Rebounds 33.7 37.3
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 6.0 9.0
Turnovers 10.9 11.1
Blocked Shots 1.7 4.0
Steals 6.5 7.2
Fouls 12.6 16.1

Playing Style Advantage: N Hampshire

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UNH BU
Total Possessions 71.4
Effective Scoring Chances 66.5 69.3
% of Possessions with UNH BU
2 Point Attempt 35.7% 42.1%
3 Point Attempt 34.3% 31.0%
Player Fouled 22.5% 17.7%
Turnover 15.3% 15.5%
Opponent Steal 10.1% 9.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UNH BU
Shot Blocked 6.8% 3.1%
Offensive Rebound 17.4% 24.5%