NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEB TST
Points 71.7 75.1
Total Points   146.8
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 44.8
Points From 3-Pointers 21.9 17.8
Points From Free Throws 13.3 12.6
Shooting WEB TST
Field Goals Made 25.5 28.3
Field Goals Attempted 54.5 56.0
Field Goal % 46.9% 50.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 22.4
2 Pointers Attempted 32.8 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 55.6% 57.4%
3 Pointers Made 7.3 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.7 16.9
3 Point Shooting % 33.7% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 13.3 12.6
Free Throws Attempted 18.1 16.6
Free Throw % 73.7% 75.8%
Ball Control WEB TST
Rebounds 30.0 31.5
Rebounds - Defensive 22.1 23.6
Rebounds - Offensive 7.9 7.9
Turnovers 10.8 9.8
Blocked Shots 1.5 3.1
Steals 5.0 6.4
Fouls 14.1 15.4

Playing Style Advantage: Tarleton St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEB TST
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 65.5 66.5
% of Possessions with WEB TST
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 28.0% 22.1%
Player Fouled 22.6% 20.7%
Turnover 15.8% 14.3%
Opponent Steal 9.4% 7.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEB TST
Shot Blocked 5.6% 2.7%
Offensive Rebound 25.1% 26.4%