NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UK AUB
Points 77.1 84.4
Total Points   161.6
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 38.9
Points From 3-Pointers 20.9 26.4
Points From Free Throws 20.2 19.2
Shooting UK AUB
Field Goals Made 25.0 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 62.0 63.2
Field Goal % 40.3% 44.6%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 19.4
2 Pointers Attempted 42.5 39.0
2 Point Shooting % 42.3% 49.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.0 8.8
3 Pointers Attempted 19.5 24.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.8% 36.3%
Free Throws Made 20.2 19.2
Free Throws Attempted 25.9 25.7
Free Throw % 78.2% 74.8%
Ball Control UK AUB
Rebounds 37.7 40.1
Rebounds - Defensive 27.0 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 11.2
Turnovers 10.7 9.9
Blocked Shots 5.0 5.6
Steals 6.8 6.4
Fouls 17.0 17.3

Playing Style Advantage: Auburn

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UK AUB
Total Possessions 76.9
Effective Scoring Chances 76.9 78.2
% of Possessions with UK AUB
2 Point Attempt 47.3% 43.3%
3 Point Attempt 21.7% 26.9%
Player Fouled 22.5% 22.1%
Turnover 13.9% 12.9%
Opponent Steal 8.3% 8.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken UK AUB
Shot Blocked 9.0% 8.3%
Offensive Rebound 27.1% 29.4%