NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEB UTAH
Points 69.4 82.7
Total Points   152.1
Points From 2-Pointers 34.0 45.6
Points From 3-Pointers 23.7 26.7
Points From Free Throws 11.7 10.4
Shooting WEB UTAH
Field Goals Made 24.9 31.7
Field Goals Attempted 60.2 57.2
Field Goal % 41.3% 55.5%
2 Pointers Made 17.0 22.8
2 Pointers Attempted 35.6 35.1
2 Point Shooting % 47.7% 64.9%
3 Pointers Made 7.9 8.9
3 Pointers Attempted 24.6 22.1
3 Point Shooting % 32.0% 40.3%
Free Throws Made 11.7 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 15.9 16.4
Free Throw % 73.7% 63.4%
Ball Control WEB UTAH
Rebounds 28.5 37.9
Rebounds - Defensive 21.7 30.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.8 7.4
Turnovers 8.5 10.6
Blocked Shots 1.4 3.8
Steals 5.8 4.6
Fouls 15.1 14.0

Playing Style Advantage: Weber St

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEB UTAH
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 69.2 67.6
% of Possessions with WEB UTAH
2 Point Attempt 45.0% 44.6%
3 Point Attempt 31.1% 28.0%
Player Fouled 19.8% 21.4%
Turnover 12.0% 15.0%
Opponent Steal 6.5% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEB UTAH
Shot Blocked 6.7% 2.3%
Offensive Rebound 18.3% 25.5%