NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring WEB PRST
Points 74.5 68.8
Total Points   143.2
Points From 2-Pointers 35.9 35.2
Points From 3-Pointers 22.3 20.6
Points From Free Throws 16.2 12.9
Shooting WEB PRST
Field Goals Made 25.4 24.5
Field Goals Attempted 52.9 55.3
Field Goal % 48.0% 44.3%
2 Pointers Made 18.0 17.6
2 Pointers Attempted 31.7 34.8
2 Point Shooting % 56.7% 50.6%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.9
3 Pointers Attempted 21.2 20.5
3 Point Shooting % 35.1% 33.5%
Free Throws Made 16.2 12.9
Free Throws Attempted 22.0 18.6
Free Throw % 73.7% 69.4%
Ball Control WEB PRST
Rebounds 32.1 32.9
Rebounds - Defensive 25.2 23.8
Rebounds - Offensive 7.0 9.0
Turnovers 10.4 11.3
Blocked Shots 1.7 2.6
Steals 5.7 5.2
Fouls 15.1 17.6

Playing Style Advantage: Weber St

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats WEB PRST
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 66.2 67.3
% of Possessions with WEB PRST
2 Point Attempt 40.8% 43.9%
3 Point Attempt 27.3% 25.9%
Player Fouled 25.3% 21.7%
Turnover 14.9% 16.3%
Opponent Steal 7.5% 8.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken WEB PRST
Shot Blocked 4.7% 3.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.6% 26.4%