NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEV BYU
Points 71.0 79.2
Total Points   150.1
Points From 2-Pointers 36.4 34.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 33.2
Points From Free Throws 11.7 11.6
Shooting NEV BYU
Field Goals Made 25.8 28.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.8 61.1
Field Goal % 43.2% 46.2%
2 Pointers Made 18.2 17.2
2 Pointers Attempted 37.3 32.3
2 Point Shooting % 48.7% 53.1%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 11.1
3 Pointers Attempted 22.4 28.8
3 Point Shooting % 34.1% 38.4%
Free Throws Made 11.7 11.6
Free Throws Attempted 15.3 16.9
Free Throw % 76.3% 69.0%
Ball Control NEV BYU
Rebounds 37.2 34.5
Rebounds - Defensive 29.1 27.8
Rebounds - Offensive 8.1 6.7
Turnovers 11.6 8.5
Blocked Shots 2.5 2.3
Steals 4.6 4.5
Fouls 15.4 13.4

Playing Style Advantage: BYU

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEV BYU
Total Possessions 72.9
Effective Scoring Chances 69.4 71.1
% of Possessions with NEV BYU
2 Point Attempt 45.6% 40.1%
3 Point Attempt 27.4% 35.7%
Player Fouled 18.4% 21.1%
Turnover 15.9% 11.7%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 6.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEV BYU
Shot Blocked 3.8% 4.2%
Offensive Rebound 22.5% 18.7%