NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NEV BYU
Points 70.3 74.2
Total Points   144.5
Points From 2-Pointers 34.7 30.1
Points From 3-Pointers 18.1 30.8
Points From Free Throws 17.5 13.4
Shooting NEV BYU
Field Goals Made 23.4 25.3
Field Goals Attempted 52.2 59.8
Field Goal % 44.8% 42.3%
2 Pointers Made 17.4 15.0
2 Pointers Attempted 35.3 28.6
2 Point Shooting % 49.2% 52.6%
3 Pointers Made 6.0 10.3
3 Pointers Attempted 16.9 31.2
3 Point Shooting % 35.5% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 17.5 13.4
Free Throws Attempted 24.6 18.5
Free Throw % 71.2% 72.5%
Ball Control NEV BYU
Rebounds 33.0 37.4
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 26.5
Rebounds - Offensive 6.5 10.9
Turnovers 9.2 9.1
Blocked Shots 2.3 2.3
Steals 5.0 4.3
Fouls 14.8 20.2

Playing Style Advantage: Nevada

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NEV BYU
Total Possessions 69.6
Effective Scoring Chances 67.0 71.5
% of Possessions with NEV BYU
2 Point Attempt 45.8% 35.1%
3 Point Attempt 22.0% 38.4%
Player Fouled 29.0% 21.2%
Turnover 13.2% 13.0%
Opponent Steal 6.2% 7.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken NEV BYU
Shot Blocked 3.9% 4.4%
Offensive Rebound 19.8% 29.3%