NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring NCST GT
Points 76.1 69.9
Total Points   146.0
Points From 2-Pointers 39.6 33.4
Points From 3-Pointers 21.3 24.2
Points From Free Throws 15.2 12.3
Shooting NCST GT
Field Goals Made 26.9 24.8
Field Goals Attempted 62.3 59.6
Field Goal % 43.2% 41.5%
2 Pointers Made 19.8 16.7
2 Pointers Attempted 40.8 35.2
2 Point Shooting % 48.5% 47.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.1 8.1
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 24.5
3 Point Shooting % 33.0% 33.0%
Free Throws Made 15.2 12.3
Free Throws Attempted 21.0 16.7
Free Throw % 72.6% 73.6%
Ball Control NCST GT
Rebounds 36.4 39.1
Rebounds - Defensive 26.4 28.4
Rebounds - Offensive 10.1 10.7
Turnovers 6.4 11.4
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.2
Steals 6.9 3.0
Fouls 13.3 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: GA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats NCST GT
Total Possessions 70.8
Effective Scoring Chances 74.5 70.1
% of Possessions with NCST GT
2 Point Attempt 49.7% 42.4%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 29.5%
Player Fouled 19.9% 18.8%
Turnover 9.0% 16.1%
Opponent Steal 4.3% 9.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken NCST GT
Shot Blocked 5.4% 5.5%
Offensive Rebound 26.2% 28.9%