NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU CHS
Points 69.7 62.2
Total Points   131.9
Points From 2-Pointers 41.7 31.4
Points From 3-Pointers 14.1 15.5
Points From Free Throws 13.8 15.4
Shooting UVU CHS
Field Goals Made 25.6 20.8
Field Goals Attempted 54.6 54.2
Field Goal % 46.8% 38.4%
2 Pointers Made 20.9 15.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.7 36.7
2 Point Shooting % 54.0% 42.7%
3 Pointers Made 4.7 5.2
3 Pointers Attempted 15.9 17.5
3 Point Shooting % 29.4% 29.4%
Free Throws Made 13.8 15.4
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 21.8
Free Throw % 65.3% 70.5%
Ball Control UVU CHS
Rebounds 37.6 32.3
Rebounds - Defensive 26.2 21.8
Rebounds - Offensive 11.4 10.6
Turnovers 12.4 12.1
Blocked Shots 4.2 3.3
Steals 6.2 8.1
Fouls 15.1 16.3

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Valley

Expected Effect: +0.4 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU CHS
Total Possessions 69.2
Effective Scoring Chances 68.2 67.7
% of Possessions with UVU CHS
2 Point Attempt 47.2% 45.0%
3 Point Attempt 19.4% 21.5%
Player Fouled 23.5% 21.8%
Turnover 18.0% 17.5%
Opponent Steal 11.7% 9.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU CHS
Shot Blocked 6.3% 7.8%
Offensive Rebound 34.4% 28.7%