NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MICH IOWA
Points 78.5 84.7
Total Points   163.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.7 49.4
Points From 3-Pointers 24.8 19.5
Points From Free Throws 15.0 15.9
Shooting MICH IOWA
Field Goals Made 27.6 31.2
Field Goals Attempted 59.9 62.6
Field Goal % 46.1% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 19.4 24.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.4 44.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 54.9%
3 Pointers Made 8.3 6.5
3 Pointers Attempted 21.5 17.6
3 Point Shooting % 38.4% 36.8%
Free Throws Made 15.0 15.9
Free Throws Attempted 21.2 20.5
Free Throw % 70.8% 77.4%
Ball Control MICH IOWA
Rebounds 35.7 33.6
Rebounds - Defensive 25.1 24.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.6 8.8
Turnovers 11.3 7.6
Blocked Shots 3.2 4.3
Steals 3.9 6.8
Fouls 15.4 14.9

Playing Style Advantage: Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MICH IOWA
Total Possessions 73.4
Effective Scoring Chances 72.7 74.6
% of Possessions with MICH IOWA
2 Point Attempt 44.8% 53.8%
3 Point Attempt 25.1% 21.1%
Player Fouled 20.2% 21.0%
Turnover 15.5% 10.4%
Opponent Steal 9.3% 5.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken MICH IOWA
Shot Blocked 7.0% 5.4%
Offensive Rebound 29.9% 25.9%