NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MICH RUTG
Points 66.7 68.5
Total Points   135.1
Points From 2-Pointers 29.8 39.3
Points From 3-Pointers 22.9 16.2
Points From Free Throws 14.0 13.0
Shooting MICH RUTG
Field Goals Made 22.5 25.0
Field Goals Attempted 55.1 62.3
Field Goal % 40.9% 40.2%
2 Pointers Made 14.9 19.6
2 Pointers Attempted 33.2 44.1
2 Point Shooting % 44.9% 44.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 5.4
3 Pointers Attempted 22.0 18.3
3 Point Shooting % 34.7% 29.6%
Free Throws Made 14.0 13.0
Free Throws Attempted 19.8 19.2
Free Throw % 70.8% 67.7%
Ball Control MICH RUTG
Rebounds 39.7 36.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.8 24.5
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 11.7
Turnovers 14.5 8.8
Blocked Shots 4.0 5.8
Steals 4.3 8.4
Fouls 14.4 14.6

Playing Style Advantage: Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MICH RUTG
Total Possessions 71.0
Effective Scoring Chances 67.3 73.8
% of Possessions with MICH RUTG
2 Point Attempt 39.4% 52.3%
3 Point Attempt 26.1% 21.7%
Player Fouled 20.6% 20.3%
Turnover 20.5% 12.5%
Opponent Steal 11.9% 6.0%
Odds Per Shot Taken MICH RUTG
Shot Blocked 9.4% 7.5%
Offensive Rebound 30.7% 28.8%