NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU UTECH
Points 70.8 66.6
Total Points   137.3
Points From 2-Pointers 38.0 33.7
Points From 3-Pointers 15.5 17.8
Points From Free Throws 17.3 15.0
Shooting UVU UTECH
Field Goals Made 24.1 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 57.3 53.7
Field Goal % 42.1% 42.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.0 16.9
2 Pointers Attempted 39.7 35.6
2 Point Shooting % 47.8% 47.3%
3 Pointers Made 5.2 5.9
3 Pointers Attempted 17.6 18.1
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 32.8%
Free Throws Made 17.3 15.0
Free Throws Attempted 26.5 23.8
Free Throw % 65.3% 63.3%
Ball Control UVU UTECH
Rebounds 38.2 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.2 27.2
Rebounds - Offensive 11.1 8.5
Turnovers 11.6 14.5
Blocked Shots 5.0 4.4
Steals 8.2 6.4
Fouls 18.2 18.5

Playing Style Advantage: Utah Valley

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU UTECH
Total Possessions 73.9
Effective Scoring Chances 73.3 68.0
% of Possessions with UVU UTECH
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 42.2%
3 Point Attempt 20.3% 21.4%
Player Fouled 25.1% 24.6%
Turnover 15.8% 19.6%
Opponent Steal 8.6% 11.1%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU UTECH
Shot Blocked 8.4% 8.9%
Offensive Rebound 28.9% 23.9%