NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring UVU UK
Points 65.6 86.4
Total Points   152.0
Points From 2-Pointers 34.4 44.2
Points From 3-Pointers 16.9 25.6
Points From Free Throws 14.3 16.5
Shooting UVU UK
Field Goals Made 22.8 30.7
Field Goals Attempted 63.3 61.6
Field Goal % 36.1% 49.8%
2 Pointers Made 17.2 22.1
2 Pointers Attempted 43.3 40.8
2 Point Shooting % 39.8% 54.2%
3 Pointers Made 5.6 8.5
3 Pointers Attempted 20.1 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 28.0% 41.1%
Free Throws Made 14.3 16.5
Free Throws Attempted 21.9 21.1
Free Throw % 65.3% 78.2%
Ball Control UVU UK
Rebounds 35.8 41.3
Rebounds - Defensive 25.0 33.0
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 8.3
Turnovers 11.3 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.7 7.9
Steals 5.8 7.6
Fouls 16.4 15.3

Playing Style Advantage: Kentucky

Expected Effect: +0.7 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats UVU UK
Total Possessions 75.8
Effective Scoring Chances 75.3 74.0
% of Possessions with UVU UK
2 Point Attempt 48.2% 47.7%
3 Point Attempt 22.4% 24.3%
Player Fouled 20.2% 21.7%
Turnover 14.9% 13.3%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 7.7%
Odds Per Shot Taken UVU UK
Shot Blocked 13.1% 6.1%
Offensive Rebound 24.6% 24.9%