NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring MICH UK
Points 75.2 90.8
Total Points   166.0
Points From 2-Pointers 33.2 49.2
Points From 3-Pointers 26.0 27.2
Points From Free Throws 15.9 14.5
Shooting MICH UK
Field Goals Made 25.3 33.6
Field Goals Attempted 62.1 65.1
Field Goal % 40.8% 51.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.6 24.6
2 Pointers Attempted 37.8 43.5
2 Point Shooting % 44.0% 56.5%
3 Pointers Made 8.7 9.1
3 Pointers Attempted 24.3 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 35.7% 42.0%
Free Throws Made 15.9 14.5
Free Throws Attempted 22.4 18.5
Free Throw % 70.8% 78.2%
Ball Control MICH UK
Rebounds 35.5 37.7
Rebounds - Defensive 24.7 28.9
Rebounds - Offensive 10.8 8.8
Turnovers 11.7 8.5
Blocked Shots 3.0 6.8
Steals 3.9 8.1
Fouls 14.8 15.9

Playing Style Advantage: Michigan

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats MICH UK
Total Possessions 75.7
Effective Scoring Chances 74.8 76.0
% of Possessions with MICH UK
2 Point Attempt 42.3% 50.8%
3 Point Attempt 27.2% 25.2%
Player Fouled 21.0% 19.6%
Turnover 15.5% 11.2%
Opponent Steal 10.7% 5.2%
Odds Per Shot Taken MICH UK
Shot Blocked 10.7% 5.0%
Offensive Rebound 27.3% 26.3%