NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GT UVA
Points 60.7 64.0
Total Points   124.7
Points From 2-Pointers 28.9 34.6
Points From 3-Pointers 22.2 20.2
Points From Free Throws 9.6 9.2
Shooting GT UVA
Field Goals Made 21.8 24.0
Field Goals Attempted 56.9 60.5
Field Goal % 38.4% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 14.4 17.3
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 39.7
2 Point Shooting % 45.4% 43.5%
3 Pointers Made 7.4 6.7
3 Pointers Attempted 25.1 20.8
3 Point Shooting % 29.5% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 9.6 9.2
Free Throws Attempted 13.0 14.9
Free Throw % 73.6% 62.1%
Ball Control GT UVA
Rebounds 41.0 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 30.2 25.7
Rebounds - Offensive 10.7 9.1
Turnovers 11.0 5.5
Blocked Shots 3.7 4.6
Steals 3.1 6.5
Fouls 11.4 11.4

Playing Style Advantage: GA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.5 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GT UVA
Total Possessions 65.2
Effective Scoring Chances 64.9 68.8
% of Possessions with GT UVA
2 Point Attempt 41.0% 52.4%
3 Point Attempt 32.2% 27.5%
Player Fouled 17.5% 17.5%
Turnover 16.9% 8.4%
Opponent Steal 10.0% 4.8%
Odds Per Shot Taken GT UVA
Shot Blocked 7.8% 6.6%
Offensive Rebound 29.5% 23.1%