NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GT IOWA
Points 79.6 81.2
Total Points   160.8
Points From 2-Pointers 38.6 43.3
Points From 3-Pointers 27.2 21.1
Points From Free Throws 13.7 16.8
Shooting GT IOWA
Field Goals Made 28.4 28.7
Field Goals Attempted 62.8 63.2
Field Goal % 45.2% 45.4%
2 Pointers Made 19.3 21.7
2 Pointers Attempted 38.3 42.0
2 Point Shooting % 50.4% 51.6%
3 Pointers Made 9.1 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 24.5 21.2
3 Point Shooting % 37.1% 33.2%
Free Throws Made 13.7 16.8
Free Throws Attempted 18.7 21.7
Free Throw % 73.6% 77.4%
Ball Control GT IOWA
Rebounds 39.3 34.7
Rebounds - Defensive 27.7 25.5
Rebounds - Offensive 11.5 9.3
Turnovers 10.4 6.8
Blocked Shots 3.5 3.5
Steals 3.9 5.8
Fouls 15.0 13.5

Playing Style Advantage: GA Tech

Expected Effect: +0.3 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GT IOWA
Total Possessions 73.2
Effective Scoring Chances 74.4 75.7
% of Possessions with GT IOWA
2 Point Attempt 44.5% 50.1%
3 Point Attempt 28.4% 25.3%
Player Fouled 18.4% 20.5%
Turnover 14.2% 9.2%
Opponent Steal 7.9% 5.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken GT IOWA
Shot Blocked 5.6% 5.7%
Offensive Rebound 31.2% 25.0%