NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring GT UNC
Points 68.5 81.8
Total Points   150.3
Points From 2-Pointers 33.9 38.4
Points From 3-Pointers 22.7 26.0
Points From Free Throws 11.9 17.4
Shooting GT UNC
Field Goals Made 24.5 27.9
Field Goals Attempted 61.8 65.1
Field Goal % 39.6% 42.9%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 19.2
2 Pointers Attempted 38.0 40.2
2 Point Shooting % 44.6% 47.8%
3 Pointers Made 7.6 8.7
3 Pointers Attempted 23.9 24.9
3 Point Shooting % 31.7% 34.9%
Free Throws Made 11.9 17.4
Free Throws Attempted 16.2 23.0
Free Throw % 73.6% 75.4%
Ball Control GT UNC
Rebounds 36.7 42.8
Rebounds - Defensive 27.6 30.3
Rebounds - Offensive 9.1 12.5
Turnovers 10.1 6.5
Blocked Shots 3.7 3.6
Steals 3.1 5.8
Fouls 15.3 14.1

Playing Style Advantage: GA Tech

Expected Effect: Less than 0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats GT UNC
Total Possessions 72.5
Effective Scoring Chances 71.5 78.5
% of Possessions with GT UNC
2 Point Attempt 45.7% 46.4%
3 Point Attempt 28.8% 28.8%
Player Fouled 19.5% 21.1%
Turnover 13.9% 8.9%
Opponent Steal 8.0% 4.3%
Odds Per Shot Taken GT UNC
Shot Blocked 5.7% 6.2%
Offensive Rebound 23.1% 31.1%