NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AKR CMU
Points 69.4 61.9
Total Points   131.3
Points From 2-Pointers 32.2 35.7
Points From 3-Pointers 23.1 15.9
Points From Free Throws 14.0 10.4
Shooting AKR CMU
Field Goals Made 23.8 23.1
Field Goals Attempted 58.8 58.2
Field Goal % 40.5% 39.7%
2 Pointers Made 16.1 17.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.9 37.9
2 Point Shooting % 50.5% 47.0%
3 Pointers Made 7.7 5.3
3 Pointers Attempted 26.9 20.3
3 Point Shooting % 28.6% 26.0%
Free Throws Made 14.0 10.4
Free Throws Attempted 19.2 15.4
Free Throw % 72.9% 67.1%
Ball Control AKR CMU
Rebounds 39.8 35.7
Rebounds - Defensive 28.5 26.4
Rebounds - Offensive 11.3 9.3
Turnovers 8.9 9.8
Blocked Shots 3.4 3.1
Steals 4.4 4.5
Fouls 14.3 14.8

Playing Style Advantage: Central Mich

Expected Effect: +0.2 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AKR CMU
Total Possessions 68.2
Effective Scoring Chances 70.7 67.6
% of Possessions with AKR CMU
2 Point Attempt 39.5% 48.1%
3 Point Attempt 33.3% 25.8%
Player Fouled 21.6% 21.0%
Turnover 13.0% 14.4%
Opponent Steal 6.6% 6.4%
Odds Per Shot Taken AKR CMU
Shot Blocked 5.5% 5.8%
Offensive Rebound 30.0% 24.6%