NOTE: This model has not been backtested for historical accuracy. We publish it in large part to give an idea of stylistic trends that can be expected (fast/slow, one team dominating the boards and the other shooting a lot of threes, etc).

Box Score Projection

Scoring AKR M-OH
Points 68.5 63.9
Total Points   132.4
Points From 2-Pointers 33.8 31.7
Points From 3-Pointers 20.8 21.0
Points From Free Throws 13.9 11.2
Shooting AKR M-OH
Field Goals Made 23.8 22.8
Field Goals Attempted 55.2 55.2
Field Goal % 43.1% 41.4%
2 Pointers Made 16.9 15.8
2 Pointers Attempted 31.5 33.6
2 Point Shooting % 53.6% 47.1%
3 Pointers Made 6.9 7.0
3 Pointers Attempted 23.7 21.6
3 Point Shooting % 29.3% 32.4%
Free Throws Made 13.9 11.2
Free Throws Attempted 19.1 15.7
Free Throw % 72.9% 71.5%
Ball Control AKR M-OH
Rebounds 37.9 31.1
Rebounds - Defensive 28.4 24.8
Rebounds - Offensive 9.5 6.3
Turnovers 10.6 10.1
Blocked Shots 3.1 2.4
Steals 5.1 5.2
Fouls 16.2 15.8

Playing Style Advantage: Akron

Expected Effect: +0.1 points
Our simulation model uses tempo-free statistics to project a detailed box score for this game. This analysis also indicates which team (if any) is expected to gain a relative advantage based on the specific matchup of paces and playing styles.

NOTE: Our simulation model assumes a neutral court setting.

Tempo-Free Projection

Possession Stats AKR M-OH
Total Possessions 68.3
Effective Scoring Chances 67.2 64.4
% of Possessions with AKR M-OH
2 Point Attempt 40.0% 44.3%
3 Point Attempt 30.1% 28.5%
Player Fouled 23.1% 23.7%
Turnover 15.5% 14.9%
Opponent Steal 7.6% 7.5%
Odds Per Shot Taken AKR M-OH
Shot Blocked 4.4% 5.6%
Offensive Rebound 27.7% 18.1%