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W Kentucky vs. W Michigan
Mon Dec 30, 2019
12:30pm ET
Dallas, TX
(Neutral Site)
First Responder Bowl: W Kentucky vs. W Michigan: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Western Kentucky by 3, Total Points: 56
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WKU | adv | WMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-7-0 | 7-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 4-3-0 |
W Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | S Florida | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Houston Baptist | -42.5 | W by 30 | -12.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Ohio St | +29.5 | L by 53 | -23.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Troy | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| 09/28 | Home | Middle Tenn | -6.5 | W by 21 | +14.5 |
| 10/05 | Away | LA Tech | -6.0 | W by 7 | +1.0 |
| 10/17 | Away | Jksnville St | -7.5 | L by 3 | -10.5 |
| 10/24 | Home | Liberty | +4.0 | L by 13 | -9.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | TX El Paso | -9.5 | W by 8 | -1.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | N Mex State | -4.5 | L by 9 | -13.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Sam Hous St | -10.0 | W by 5 | -5.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Florida Intl | -11.5 | W by 13 | +1.5 |
| 12/18 | Neutral | Old Dominion | +4.5 | W by 3 | +7.5 |
W Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | St. Francis | -13.5 | W by 18 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Syracuse | +24.5 | L by 41 | -16.5 |
| 09/16 | Away | Iowa | +28.5 | L by 31 | -2.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Toledo | +21.5 | L by 18 | +3.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Ball St | -1.5 | W by 18 | +16.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Miss State | +21.5 | L by 13 | +8.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Miami (OH) | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Ohio | +16.5 | L by 3 | +13.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | E Michigan | -3.0 | W by 24 | +21.0 |
| 11/07 | Home | Central Mich | -3.0 | W by 10 | +7.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | N Illinois | +4.5 | L by 24 | -19.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | Bowling Grn | +2.5 | L by 24 | -21.5 |
| WKU -3.0 | Open | -2.5 | High | -3.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 396 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like Western Kentucky won the game 232 times (58.6%).
- The team like Western Michigan won the game 164 times (41.4%).
- The team like Western Michigan did better against the spread, going 196-193-7 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 473 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Western Kentucky did better against the spread, going 240-226-7 (51.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.0 | -- |
| Open | -2.0 | -2.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/30 12:30 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 12:25 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/30 12:12 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 10:46 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 10:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/30 10:24 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/30 10:07 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 09:46 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 09:34 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/30 09:27 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 08:04 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 07:00 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 05:55 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 03:37 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 03:04 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 09:13 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/29 09:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 09:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/29 02:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/29 02:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/29 01:54 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 12:35 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/29 12:15 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 09:00 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 05:25 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 07:54 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/28 07:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/28 07:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 09:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/28 09:41 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 10:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/27 09:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/27 09:34 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 12:17 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 06:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/26 06:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 06:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/26 02:54 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/26 02:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/23 05:39 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 12:36 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 09:01 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 11:42 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 03:36 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 05:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/12 03:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/12 03:14 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 11:08 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 08:09 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 02:43 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 01:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/11 12:24 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/11 12:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/11 12:05 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 10:54 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/11 10:34 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/11 10:14 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/11 12:02 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 07:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/10 05:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/10 04:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/10 04:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/10 03:50 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 03:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/10 11:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/09 10:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/09 02:33 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 02:21 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:24 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/09 08:20 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 06:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/08 09:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/08 08:33 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/08 08:26 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:54 PM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 12/08 06:44 PM | -2.0 | -- | -- |
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