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Florida vs. Virginia
Mon Dec 30, 2019
8:00pm ET
Miami Gardens, FL
(Neutral Site)
Orange Bowl: Florida vs. Virginia: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Florida by 15.5, Total Points: 55
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | FLA | adv | UVA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 8-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | L1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 4-2-0 |
Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Utah | +5.5 | L by 13 | -7.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | McNeese St | -48.5 | W by 42 | -6.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Tennessee | +5.0 | W by 13 | +18.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Charlotte | -28.0 | W by 15 | -13.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Kentucky | +1.0 | L by 19 | -18.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Vanderbilt | -18.5 | W by 24 | +5.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | S Carolina | -1.0 | W by 2 | +1.0 |
| 10/28 | Neutral | Georgia | +14.0 | L by 23 | -9.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Arkansas | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | LSU | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Missouri | +12.0 | L by 2 | +10.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Florida St | +6.0 | L by 9 | -3.0 |
Virginia Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Neutral | Tennessee | +27.5 | L by 36 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 1 | +5.0 |
| 09/15 | Away | Maryland | +16.0 | L by 28 | -12.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | NC State | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Boston Col | +5.5 | L by 3 | +2.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Wm & Mary | -7.5 | W by 14 | +6.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | N Carolina | +24.0 | W by 4 | +28.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Miami | +19.0 | L by 3 | +16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | GA Tech | -1.0 | L by 28 | -29.0 |
| 11/09 | Away | Louisville | +20.0 | L by 7 | +13.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Duke | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | VA Tech | +1.0 | L by 38 | -37.0 |
| FLA -15.5 | Open | -13.0 | High | -15.5 |
| Last | -14.5 | Low | -13.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 105 games where the closing line favored the away team by 15.5 to 17.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Florida won the game 97 times (92.4%).
- The team like Virginia won the game 8 times (7.6%).
- The team like Florida did better against the spread, going 61-41-3 (59.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 273 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Florida did better against the spread, going 135-132-6 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -16.5 | -16.0 | -- |
| Open | -14.5 | -14.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/30 08:10 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 08:02 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 07:42 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 07:24 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 12/30 07:13 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 06:44 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 06:34 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 12/30 06:00 PM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 05:44 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 12/30 05:20 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 04:38 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 04:22 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 09:15 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 05:56 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 04:31 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 03:48 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 12:52 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 10:09 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 08:00 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 05:54 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 04:24 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/29 12:04 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/28 09:24 AM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 12/28 09:12 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 12:46 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 09:01 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 01:21 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 01:33 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 08:09 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:34 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
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