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Michigan vs. Alabama
Wed Jan 1, 2020
1:00pm ET
Orlando, FL
(Neutral Site)
Citrus Bowl: Michigan vs. Alabama: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Alabama by 7.5, Total Points: 61
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MICH | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 9-5-1 | 9-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-1 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-1 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 7-1-0 | 4-3-0 |
Michigan Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | E Carolina | -35.5 | W by 27 | -8.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | UNLV | -38.0 | W by 28 | -10.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Bowling Grn | -41.0 | W by 25 | -16.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rutgers | -24.0 | W by 24 | 0.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Nebraska | -17.5 | W by 38 | +20.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Minnesota | -19.0 | W by 42 | +23.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Indiana | -32.5 | W by 45 | +12.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Michigan St | -25.5 | W by 49 | +23.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Purdue | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Penn St | -4.5 | W by 9 | +4.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Maryland | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Ohio St | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Iowa | -21.5 | W by 26 | +4.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Alabama | -2.0 | W by 7 | +5.0 |
| 01/08 | Neutral | Washington | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Middle Tenn | -39.0 | W by 49 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | L by 10 | -17.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | S Florida | -34.5 | W by 14 | -20.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Mississippi | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Miss State | -16.5 | W by 23 | +6.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Arkansas | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Tennessee | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | LSU | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Kentucky | -10.5 | W by 28 | +17.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Chattanooga | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Auburn | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Georgia | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Michigan | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| ALA -7.5 | Open | -7.0 | High | -7.5 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -7.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 378 games where the closing line favored the home team by 6.5 to 8.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Alabama won the game 259 times (68.5%).
- The team like Michigan won the game 119 times (31.5%).
- The team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 202-164-12 (55.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 616 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Michigan did better against the spread, going 325-282-9 (53.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.9 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -7.5 | -8.5 | -- |
| Open | -7.0 | -7.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/01 01:04 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 01:04 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/01 12:32 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 12:24 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/01 12:14 PM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/01 12:03 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 11:35 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 11:34 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/01 11:14 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/01 10:58 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 10:54 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/01 10:34 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 10:34 AM | -- | -8.5 | -- |
| 01/01 10:17 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 09:58 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 09:43 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/01 09:32 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 08:50 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 08:16 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 08:03 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 07:34 AM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 01/01 07:33 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 06:33 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 04:24 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 02:44 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 10:16 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 09:37 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 09:34 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 12/31 09:24 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 12/31 08:44 PM | -- | -8.0 | -- |
| 12/31 07:43 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 04:54 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/31 01:14 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/31 12:59 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 12:54 PM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/31 12:36 PM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 11:27 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 11:24 AM | -- | -7.5 | -- |
| 12/31 11:09 AM | -7.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 08:04 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/31 07:54 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 03:44 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/31 01:24 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/31 01:03 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 08:33 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 01:47 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 01:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/28 06:55 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 02:01 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 02:01 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 11:50 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 10:20 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 10:24 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 10:32 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 08:03 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/26 07:55 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 12:52 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 09:02 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 11:31 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/19 12:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/18 01:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/18 01:17 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 09:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/17 08:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 09:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/15 09:38 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 02:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/12 05:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/12 03:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/12 03:25 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 12:46 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 02:38 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 03:44 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/10 03:29 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 12:03 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 08:38 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 02:24 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/09 02:15 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:23 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 01:13 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/08 10:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/08 09:34 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/08 09:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/08 08:54 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/08 08:14 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/08 08:04 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 12/08 06:51 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
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