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Middle Tenn vs. Toledo
Fri Dec 17, 2021
12:00pm ET
Nassau,
(Neutral Site)
Bahamas Bowl: Middle Tenn vs. Toledo: Over/Under Analysis
Odds: Toledo by 10.5, Total Points: 50
Over/Under Situational Trends
| Record | MTU | TOL |
|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-6-1 | 7-7-0 |
| vs Conference | 3-4-1 | 4-5-0 |
| Streak | Un 1 | Un 3 |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 |
| Last 10 | 4-5-1 | 4-6-0 |
| Home | 3-2-1 | 4-2-0 |
| Away | 2-4-0 | 3-5-0 |
Records denote overs-unders-pushes
Middle Tenn Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Alabama | 51.5 | 7-56 | Over | +11.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Missouri | 47.5 | 19-23 | Under | -5.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Murray St | 51.0 | 35-14 | Under | -2.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Colorado St | 50.0 | 23-31 | Over | +4.0 |
| 09/28 | Away | W Kentucky | 60.5 | 10-31 | Under | -19.5 |
| 10/04 | Home | Jksnville St | 52.5 | 30-45 | Over | +22.5 |
| 10/10 | Home | LA Tech | 54.0 | 31-23 | Push | 0.0 |
| 10/17 | Away | Liberty | 56.5 | 35-42 | Over | +20.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | N Mex State | 55.5 | 7-13 | Under | -35.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Florida Intl | 52.0 | 40-6 | Under | -6.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | TX El Paso | 48.5 | 34-30 | Over | +15.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Sam Hous St | 51.0 | 20-23 | Under | -8.0 |
Toledo Detailed Over/Under Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Total | Score | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Illinois | 45.0 | 28-30 | Over | +13.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas Southern | 63.0 | 71-3 | Over | +11.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | San Jose St | 56.5 | 21-17 | Under | -18.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | W Michigan | 51.5 | 49-31 | Over | +28.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | N Illinois | 48.0 | 35-33 | Over | +20.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | U Mass | 55.5 | 41-24 | Over | +9.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Ball St | 48.5 | 13-6 | Under | -29.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Miami (OH) | 46.5 | 21-17 | Under | -8.5 |
| 10/31 | Home | Buffalo | 47.0 | 31-13 | Under | -3.0 |
| 11/08 | Home | E Michigan | 45.0 | 49-23 | Over | +27.0 |
| 11/14 | Away | Bowling Grn | 49.5 | 32-31 | Over | +13.5 |
| 11/24 | Away | Central Mich | 54.5 | 32-17 | Under | -5.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Miami (OH) | 43.0 | 14-23 | Under | -6.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Wyoming | 43.5 | 15-16 | Under | -12.5 |
| Total 50.0 | Open | 54.5 | High | 54.5 |
| Last | 49.5 | Low | 49.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 432 games with over/under lines between 49 and 51. In these games:
- Games have gone over the line 208 times (48.1%).
- Games have gone under the line 217 times (50.2%).
- Games have pushed the line 7 times (1.6%).
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 40 games where the closing over/under line moved 4.5 points lower than the opening over/under line.
In these games, the over performed better, going 22-18 (55.0%). Game totals went over the line by an average of 1.3 points.
Totals History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | 50.0 | 50.0 | -- |
| Open | 53.0 | 53.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/17 12:05 PM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 11:38 AM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 10:56 AM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 09:44 AM | -- | 50.0 | -- |
| 12/17 09:17 AM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 09:02 AM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 07:08 AM | 49.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 01:53 AM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 07:14 PM | -- | 49.5 | -- |
| 12/16 07:02 PM | 49.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 03:04 PM | -- | 50.0 | -- |
| 12/16 01:44 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/16 01:35 PM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 01:14 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/16 01:04 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/16 12:34 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/16 11:44 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/16 11:34 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/16 10:56 AM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 10:54 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/16 10:24 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/16 09:44 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/16 09:35 AM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 09:34 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/16 09:04 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/15 10:24 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/15 09:54 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/15 07:54 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/15 07:14 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/15 03:04 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/15 02:34 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/15 02:04 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/15 01:24 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/15 01:14 PM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 08:05 AM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 08:04 AM | -- | 49.5 | -- |
| 12/15 06:14 AM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/14 08:44 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/14 08:14 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/14 08:04 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/14 07:59 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 05:35 PM | 50.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 05:24 PM | -- | 50.0 | -- |
| 12/14 05:08 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 03:41 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 01:04 PM | -- | 50.5 | -- |
| 12/14 12:29 PM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 10:08 AM | 50.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 05:26 PM | 51.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 02:44 PM | 51.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 02:11 PM | 51.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 12:14 PM | 51.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 11:32 AM | 51.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 11:04 AM | -- | 51.5 | -- |
| 12/13 10:34 AM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 12/13 09:44 AM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 12/13 09:34 AM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 12/13 09:04 AM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 12/12 09:34 PM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 12/12 08:34 PM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 12/12 07:54 PM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 12/12 07:24 PM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 12/12 07:08 PM | 51.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 06:44 PM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 12/12 06:32 PM | 51.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 04:34 PM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 12/10 12:54 PM | -- | 53.0 | -- |
| 12/09 10:14 PM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 12/09 09:44 PM | -- | 52.0 | -- |
| 12/08 06:01 AM | 52.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 05:58 AM | -- | 53.0 | -- |
| 12/07 06:02 PM | 52.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:44 AM | -- | 53.5 | -- |
| 12/07 09:26 AM | 53.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 03:56 AM | 53.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:14 PM | -- | 54.5 | -- |
| 12/06 04:11 PM | 53.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 03:24 PM | -- | 53.5 | -- |
| 12/06 03:14 PM | -- | 54.0 | -- |
| 12/06 03:05 PM | 54.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 02:34 PM | -- | 54.0 | -- |
| 12/06 01:44 PM | -- | 54.0 | -- |
| 12/06 01:14 PM | -- | 54.0 | -- |
| 12/06 12:23 PM | 54.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:01 AM | -- | 53.5 | -- |
| 12/05 08:22 PM | 53.0 | -- | -- |
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