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Georgia St vs. Ball St
Sat Dec 25, 2021
2:30pm ET
Montgomery, AL
(Neutral Site)
Camellia Bowl: Georgia St vs. Ball St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Georgia St. by 6.5, Total Points: 53
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | GSU | adv | BALL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 7-4-1 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 6-2-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | W6 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| Away | 5-2-0 | 2-3-1 |
Georgia St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Home | Rhode Island | -17.5 | W by 7 | -10.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Connecticut | -3.0 | W by 21 | +18.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Charlotte | -4.5 | W by 16 | +11.5 |
| 09/21 | Away | Coastal Car | +4.5 | W by 13 | +17.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Troy | -1.0 | L by 21 | -22.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Marshall | -2.0 | W by 17 | +15.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Louisiana | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 10/26 | Away | GA Southern | +1.0 | L by 17 | -16.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | James Mad | +6.0 | L by 28 | -22.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | App State | -3.0 | L by 28 | -31.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | LSU | +32.0 | L by 42 | -10.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Old Dominion | +1.5 | L by 1 | +0.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Utah St | +2.0 | W by 23 | +25.0 |
Ball St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Kentucky | +25.5 | L by 30 | -4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Georgia | +42.0 | L by 42 | 0.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Indiana St | -26.5 | W by 38 | +11.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | GA Southern | +5.5 | L by 37 | -31.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | W Michigan | +1.5 | L by 18 | -16.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | E Michigan | +2.0 | L by 14 | -12.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Toledo | +17.5 | L by 7 | +10.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Central Mich | +5.5 | W by 7 | +12.5 |
| 11/01 | Away | Bowling Grn | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/07 | Away | N Illinois | +9.0 | W by 3 | +12.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Kent St | -10.5 | W by 31 | +20.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Miami (OH) | +4.0 | L by 2 | +2.0 |
| BALL +6.5 | Open | +3.5 | High | +3.5 |
| Last | +6.0 | Low | +6.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 276 games where the closing line favored the home team by -7.5 to -5.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Ball State won the game 99 times (35.9%).
- The team like Georgia St. won the game 177 times (64.1%).
- The team like Georgia St. did better against the spread, going 135-132-9 (50.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 130 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Ball State did better against the spread, going 69-61 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | +6.5 | +6.5 | -- |
| Open | +3.5 | +3.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/25 02:34 PM | -- | +6.5 | -- |
| 12/25 02:32 PM | +6.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 02:20 PM | +6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 02:04 PM | -- | +6.5 | -- |
| 12/25 01:49 PM | +6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 01:34 PM | -- | +6.0 | -- |
| 12/25 01:20 PM | +6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 12:35 PM | +6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 11:24 AM | -- | +6.0 | -- |
| 12/25 11:14 AM | +6.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 10:54 AM | -- | +6.0 | -- |
| 12/25 10:50 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 09:20 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 09:04 AM | -- | +6.0 | -- |
| 12/25 08:04 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 07:50 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/25 07:44 AM | -- | +6.0 | -- |
| 12/25 06:35 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/24 10:54 PM | -- | +6.0 | -- |
| 12/24 10:44 PM | -- | +6.0 | -- |
| 12/24 10:31 PM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/24 06:14 PM | -- | +6.0 | -- |
| 12/24 05:16 PM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/24 03:35 PM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/24 11:11 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/24 09:54 AM | -- | +5.5 | -- |
| 12/24 07:07 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 11:25 PM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 10:34 PM | -- | +6.0 | -- |
| 12/23 05:32 PM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 03:20 PM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 02:44 PM | +4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 12:32 PM | +4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 06:43 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 05:01 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/23 04:34 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 04:47 PM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 04:05 PM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 09:44 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 08:05 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 12:13 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 02:05 PM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 04:54 PM | -- | +6.0 | -- |
| 12/20 11:44 AM | -- | +5.5 | -- |
| 12/20 11:29 AM | +5.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 10:02 PM | +4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 03:14 PM | -- | +5.0 | -- |
| 12/15 11:53 PM | +4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:56 AM | +4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 05:14 PM | -- | +4.5 | -- |
| 12/06 03:24 PM | -- | +4.5 | -- |
| 12/06 03:14 PM | -- | +3.5 | -- |
| 12/06 03:08 PM | +4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 08:29 AM | +3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:01 AM | -- | +3.5 | -- |
| 12/05 09:49 PM | +3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 08:05 PM | +3.5 | -- | -- |
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