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TX El Paso vs. Fresno St
Sat Dec 18, 2021
2:15pm ET
Albuquerque, NM
(Neutral Site)
New Mexico Bowl: TX El Paso vs. Fresno St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Fresno St. by 13.5, Total Points: 54.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | UTEP | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-0 | 5-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 5-3-0 | 1-7-0 | |
| Streak | W4 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 4-1-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 3-4-0 |
TX El Paso Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Away | Jksnville St | -1.5 | L by 3 | -4.5 |
| 09/02 | Home | Incar Word | -7.5 | W by 14 | +6.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Northwestern | +1.0 | L by 31 | -30.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Arizona | +18.5 | L by 21 | -2.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | UNLV | -2.0 | L by 17 | -19.0 |
| 09/29 | Home | LA Tech | +1.5 | L by 14 | -12.5 |
| 10/11 | Away | Florida Intl | +3.5 | W by 13 | +16.5 |
| 10/18 | Home | N Mex State | +3.0 | L by 21 | -18.0 |
| 10/25 | Away | Sam Hous St | +3.5 | W by 3 | +6.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | W Kentucky | +9.5 | L by 8 | +1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Middle Tenn | +8.0 | L by 4 | +4.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Liberty | +18.0 | L by 14 | +4.0 |
Fresno St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Purdue | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Washingtn | -30.0 | W by 3 | -27.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 29 | +25.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Kent St | -27.0 | W by 43 | +16.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Nevada | -25.5 | W by 18 | -7.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Wyoming | -5.5 | L by 5 | -10.5 |
| 10/13 | Away | Utah St | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | UNLV | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Boise St | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | San Jose St | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | New Mexico | -22.0 | L by 8 | -30.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | San Diego St | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Mex State | +3.0 | W by 27 | +30.0 |
| FRES -13.5 | Open | -12.0 | High | -13.5 |
| Last | -13.0 | Low | -10.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 252 games where the closing line favored the home team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Fresno State won the game 206 times (81.7%).
- The team like Texas El Paso won the game 46 times (18.3%).
- The team like Texas El Paso did better against the spread, going 124-122-6 (50.4% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 340 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Texas El Paso did better against the spread, going 174-159-7 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.5 | -13.5 | -- |
| Open | -13.5 | -13.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/18 02:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/18 02:14 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 02:08 PM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 02:04 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 12/18 01:35 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 01:34 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/18 01:02 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 12:44 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/18 12:38 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 12:34 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/18 11:38 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 11:14 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 12/18 10:38 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 08:41 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 08:38 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 08:14 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 12/18 07:50 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 07:34 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 07:10 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 06:54 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/18 03:34 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/18 02:54 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 12/18 02:44 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 04:47 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 07:38 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 06:14 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 12/16 03:52 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 05:32 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 08:44 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/15 08:32 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 06:44 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 12/15 12:56 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 08:02 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 03:08 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 05:38 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 03:14 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 12/14 10:38 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 05:30 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 11:54 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 12/12 11:55 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 02:54 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/12 12:04 AM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 12/11 12:47 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 11:32 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/10 02:20 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:26 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 06:47 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 06:34 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 03:04 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 12/09 11:54 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 12/09 09:10 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 08:37 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 02:00 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 01:41 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 11:56 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 10:32 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 09:59 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 06:01 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 02:04 PM | -- | -10.5 | -- |
| 12/07 10:59 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 09:44 AM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 12/06 08:14 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/06 07:24 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/06 06:44 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 12/06 06:41 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:59 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:41 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:34 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 12/06 03:47 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 03:34 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/06 01:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/06 12:34 PM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/06 12:17 PM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 10:44 AM | -- | -12.5 | -- |
| 12/06 10:11 AM | -12.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 08:53 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 08:44 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 12/06 08:20 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 04:01 AM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 12/05 09:11 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
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