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Baylor vs. Mississippi
Sat Jan 1, 2022
8:45pm ET
New Orleans, LA
(Neutral Site)
Sugar Bowl: Baylor vs. Mississippi: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi by 1.5, Total Points: 60.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BAY | adv | MISS |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-8-1 | 7-4-2 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 3-3-2 | |
| Streak | W1 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-2-2 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-4-2 | |
| Home | 1-6-1 | 4-2-1 | |
| Away | 2-2-0 | 3-2-1 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Texas St | -26.5 | L by 11 | -37.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Utah | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LIU | -45.0 | W by 23 | -22.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Texas | +17.5 | L by 32 | -14.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | UCF | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Texas Tech | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Cincinnati | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Iowa St | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Houston | -2.0 | L by 1 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Kansas St | +21.0 | L by 34 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | TX Christian | +13.0 | L by 25 | -12.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | W Virginia | +12.5 | L by 3 | +9.5 |
Mississippi Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Mercer | -35.0 | W by 66 | +31.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Tulane | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Tech | -17.0 | W by 25 | +8.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Alabama | +7.0 | L by 14 | -7.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | LSU | +2.5 | W by 6 | +8.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Arkansas | -13.0 | W by 7 | -6.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Auburn | -6.5 | W by 7 | +0.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Vanderbilt | -24.0 | W by 26 | +2.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Texas A&M | -3.0 | W by 3 | 0.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Georgia | +11.0 | L by 35 | -24.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | UL Monroe | -36.0 | W by 32 | -4.0 |
| 11/23 | Away | Miss State | -10.0 | W by 10 | 0.0 |
| 12/30 | Neutral | Penn St | +6.0 | W by 13 | +19.0 |
| MISS -1.5 | Open | -2.5 | High | -2.5 |
| Last | -1.0 | Low | +1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 216 games where the closing line favored the home team by 0.5 to 2.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi won the game 110 times (50.9%).
- The team like Baylor won the game 106 times (49.1%).
- The team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 111-104-1 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 469 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 236-226-7 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -1.0 | -- |
| Open | -1.5 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 01/01 09:01 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 08:25 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 07:53 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 07:23 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 07:05 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 07:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/01 06:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/01 06:17 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 05:44 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 05:34 PM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 01/01 05:17 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 04:50 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 04:35 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 03:14 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/01 03:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/01 02:53 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 02:08 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 01:41 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 12:44 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/01 12:32 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 12:24 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/01 12:04 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/01 11:47 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 11:14 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/01 11:14 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 10:34 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 01/01 10:26 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 09:56 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 08:20 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 07:04 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 01/01 12:19 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 09:49 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 02:47 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 12:56 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 12:41 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/31 09:47 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 04:26 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 10:47 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/30 12:49 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 12:02 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/29 08:04 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/28 07:47 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 08:35 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 03:44 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/27 03:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 12/27 03:11 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/27 02:54 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/27 02:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 12/27 12:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/27 11:47 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/24 11:43 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/22 08:58 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/21 12:54 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 12/21 12:34 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/20 03:24 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/19 11:31 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/18 05:02 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 03:44 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/17 05:29 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 04:14 PM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 12/13 02:59 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 02:44 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 12/13 02:34 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 12/13 02:26 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/11 12:35 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/09 05:54 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 12/08 06:41 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 01:44 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 09:59 AM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/07 02:14 PM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 12/06 10:34 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 12/06 10:23 PM | +1.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 09:26 PM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 06:08 PM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 05:29 PM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 02:24 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 12/06 02:14 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 12/06 02:08 PM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/06 01:24 PM | -- | (Pick) | -- |
| 12/06 01:14 PM | (Pick) | -- | -- |
| 12/06 01:04 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/06 04:01 AM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/05 11:44 PM | -1.5 | -- | -- |
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