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N Mex State vs. Fresno St
Sat Dec 16, 2023
5:45pm ET
Albuquerque, NM
(Neutral Site)
New Mexico Bowl: N Mex State vs. Fresno St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: New Mexico State by 3, Total Points: 52.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NMSU | adv | FRES |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-4-1 | 5-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 1-7-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 5-1-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-1 | 3-4-0 |
N Mex State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Home | U Mass | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 09/02 | Home | W Illinois | -21.0 | W by 37 | +16.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Liberty | +9.0 | L by 16 | -7.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | New Mexico | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Hawaii | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 10/04 | Home | Florida Intl | -6.5 | W by 17 | +10.5 |
| 10/11 | Home | Sam Hous St | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 10/18 | Away | TX El Paso | -3.0 | W by 21 | +18.0 |
| 10/24 | Away | LA Tech | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Middle Tenn | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | W Kentucky | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Auburn | +25.0 | W by 21 | +46.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Jksnville St | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Liberty | +10.0 | L by 14 | -4.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Fresno St | -3.0 | L by 27 | -30.0 |
Fresno St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Purdue | +4.0 | W by 4 | +8.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Washingtn | -30.0 | W by 3 | -27.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Arizona St | -4.0 | W by 29 | +25.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Kent St | -27.0 | W by 43 | +16.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Nevada | -25.5 | W by 18 | -7.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Wyoming | -5.5 | L by 5 | -10.5 |
| 10/13 | Away | Utah St | -5.5 | W by 5 | -0.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | UNLV | -10.5 | W by 7 | -3.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Boise St | -2.5 | W by 7 | +4.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | San Jose St | +2.0 | L by 24 | -22.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | New Mexico | -22.0 | L by 8 | -30.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | San Diego St | -4.5 | L by 15 | -19.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | N Mex State | +3.0 | W by 27 | +30.0 |
| NMSU -3.0 | Open | -2.0 | High | -4.5 |
| Last | -3.5 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 98 neutral site games where the closing line favored one team by 2 to 4 points. In these games:
- The team like New Mexico St. won the game 62 times (63.3%).
- The team like Fresno St. won the game 36 times (36.7%).
- The team like New Mexico St. did better against the spread, going 50-45-3 (52.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2020-2021 college football season there have been 352 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Fresno St. did better against the spread, going 188-151-13 (55.5% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.0 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -3.0 | -1.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 12/16 05:23 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 05:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 03:11 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 01:00 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 12:39 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/16 12:13 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 11:02 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/16 11:00 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 10:38 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/16 09:45 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 09:03 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 08:05 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/16 04:02 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 08:44 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/15 08:26 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 10:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 06:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 05:46 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 05:02 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 03:45 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 01:02 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 10:35 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/14 10:05 AM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 03:05 PM | -4.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 10:24 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/13 08:57 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/13 08:03 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/12 11:24 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 04:32 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 12/08 02:19 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 12/07 04:09 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 12/05 01:27 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/05 07:57 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 12/04 09:07 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 12/03 10:57 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
| 12/03 10:17 PM | -- | -1.5 | -- |
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