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N Mex State at New Mexico
Sat Sep 11, 2021
7:00pm ET
Albuquerque, NM
N Mex State at New Mexico: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: New Mexico by 19.5, Total Points: 55.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | NMSU | adv | UNM |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 10-4-1 | 6-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 7-2-0 | 4-4-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 8-2-0 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 5-1-0 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 5-3-1 | 3-3-0 |
N Mex State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Home | U Mass | -6.5 | L by 11 | -17.5 |
| 09/02 | Home | W Illinois | -21.0 | W by 37 | +16.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Liberty | +9.0 | L by 16 | -7.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | New Mexico | +2.5 | W by 10 | +12.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Hawaii | +3.0 | L by 3 | 0.0 |
| 10/04 | Home | Florida Intl | -6.5 | W by 17 | +10.5 |
| 10/11 | Home | Sam Hous St | -4.0 | W by 14 | +10.0 |
| 10/18 | Away | TX El Paso | -3.0 | W by 21 | +18.0 |
| 10/24 | Away | LA Tech | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Middle Tenn | -3.0 | W by 6 | +3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | W Kentucky | +4.5 | W by 9 | +13.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Auburn | +25.0 | W by 21 | +46.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Jksnville St | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 12/01 | Away | Liberty | +10.0 | L by 14 | -4.0 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | Fresno St | -3.0 | L by 27 | -30.0 |
New Mexico Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Texas A&M | +38.0 | L by 42 | -4.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | TN Tech | -17.0 | W by 46 | +29.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | N Mex State | -2.5 | L by 10 | -12.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | U Mass | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Wyoming | +14.5 | L by 9 | +5.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | San Jose St | +6.5 | L by 28 | -21.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Hawaii | +2.0 | W by 21 | +23.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Nevada | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | UNLV | +14.5 | L by 42 | -27.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Boise St | +27.5 | L by 28 | -0.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Fresno St | +22.0 | W by 8 | +30.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Utah St | +4.5 | L by 3 | +1.5 |
| UNM -19.5 | Open | -21.5 | High | -21.5 |
| Last | -18.0 | Low | -18.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 92 games where the closing line favored the home team by 18.5 to 20.5 points. In these games:
- The team like New Mexico won the game 82 times (89.1%).
- The team like New Mexico State won the game 10 times (10.9%).
- The team like New Mexico did better against the spread, going 46-46 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 203 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like New Mexico did better against the spread, going 101-100-2 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -19.5 | -18.5 | -- |
| Open | -18.5 | -18.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/11 06:58 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 09/11 06:11 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 05:53 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 04:47 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 04:23 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 02:35 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 01:56 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 01:08 PM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 09:45 AM | -- | -19.5 | -- |
| 09/11 09:29 AM | -19.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 08:02 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 02:41 AM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 08:10 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 01:38 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 05:14 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 04:08 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 12:50 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 01:23 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 11:20 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 10:32 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 08:54 AM | -- | -19.0 | -- |
| 09/08 08:02 AM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 04:38 PM | -19.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 03:50 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 09:32 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 09/05 09:31 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
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