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Wisconsin at Purdue
Sat Oct 23, 2021
3:00pm ET
West Lafayette, IN
Wisconsin at Purdue: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wisconsin by 3.5, Total Points: 41
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WIS | adv | PUR |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-1 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-1 | 3-6-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-1 | 2-5-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 2-3-0 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Buffalo | -28.5 | W by 21 | -7.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Wash State | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Southern | -20.5 | W by 21 | +0.5 |
| 09/22 | Away | Purdue | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Rutgers | -12.5 | W by 11 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Iowa | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Illinois | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Ohio St | +14.5 | L by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Indiana | -7.5 | L by 6 | -13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Northwestern | -12.5 | L by 14 | -26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Nebraska | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | LSU | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Fresno St | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | Wisconsin | +6.0 | L by 21 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Illinois | +1.0 | W by 25 | +26.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Iowa | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Ohio St | +17.0 | L by 34 | -17.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Nebraska | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Michigan | +31.0 | L by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | W by 19 | +21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
| WIS -3.5 | Open | -10.5 | High | -10.5 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | -2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 367 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 205 times (55.9%).
- The team like Purdue won the game 162 times (44.1%).
- The team like Purdue did better against the spread, going 187-173-7 (51.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.2 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 1 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 7 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Wisconsin did better against the spread, going 1-0 (100.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 7.0 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -2.5 | -3.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/23 02:59 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 02:04 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/23 01:56 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 01:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/23 01:20 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 01:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 12:11 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:59 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 11:38 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 10:47 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 10:20 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 09:44 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/23 09:35 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 08:32 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/23 06:19 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 10:38 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 02:14 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 09:11 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 05:54 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/21 02:08 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 01:14 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/21 01:14 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 01:05 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 01:04 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/21 04:20 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 08:02 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 02:15 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 05:26 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 03:50 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 04:14 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 09:32 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 09:44 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 05:34 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 10/17 05:08 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 04:13 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
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