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Wisconsin at Illinois
Sat Oct 19, 2019
12:00pm ET
Champaign, IL
Wisconsin at Illinois: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Wisconsin by 28.5, Total Points: 52
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | WIS | adv | ILL |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 6-6-1 | 3-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-1 | 3-6-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-2-1 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-4-1 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 2-4-1 | 0-7-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 3-2-0 |
Wisconsin Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Buffalo | -28.5 | W by 21 | -7.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Wash State | -5.5 | L by 9 | -14.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | GA Southern | -20.5 | W by 21 | +0.5 |
| 09/22 | Away | Purdue | -6.0 | W by 21 | +15.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Rutgers | -12.5 | W by 11 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Iowa | -8.5 | L by 9 | -17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Illinois | -3.0 | W by 4 | +1.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Ohio St | +14.5 | L by 14 | +0.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Indiana | -7.5 | L by 6 | -13.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Northwestern | -12.5 | L by 14 | -26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Nebraska | -7.0 | W by 7 | 0.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Minnesota | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | LSU | +9.5 | L by 4 | +5.5 |
Illinois Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Toledo | -7.5 | W by 2 | -5.5 |
| 09/08 | Away | Kansas | +3.5 | L by 11 | -7.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Penn St | +14.0 | L by 17 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Fla Atlantic | -16.0 | W by 6 | -10.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Purdue | -1.0 | L by 25 | -26.0 |
| 10/06 | Home | Nebraska | -3.0 | L by 13 | -16.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Maryland | +13.0 | W by 3 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Wisconsin | +3.0 | L by 4 | -1.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Minnesota | +2.5 | W by 1 | +3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Indiana | -4.5 | W by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Iowa | +3.0 | L by 2 | +1.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Northwestern | -6.5 | L by 2 | -8.5 |
| WIS -28.5 | Open | -29.0 | High | -32.0 |
| Last | -30.0 | Low | -28.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 18 games where the closing line favored the away team by 27.5 to 29.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Wisconsin won the game 16 times (88.9%).
- The team like Illinois won the game 2 times (11.1%).
- The team like Illinois did better against the spread, going 9-9 (50.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 5.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 543 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Wisconsin did better against the spread, going 293-242-8 (54.8% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -28.5 | -30.0 | -- |
| Open | -28.5 | -28.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/19 11:59 AM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 11:55 AM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 11:24 AM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 10/19 11:18 AM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 10:55 AM | -30.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 10:54 AM | -- | -30.0 | -- |
| 10/19 10:24 AM | -- | -31.5 | -- |
| 10/19 10:21 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 09:10 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 08:38 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 04:03 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 02:13 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 09:22 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 06:59 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 05:51 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 02:56 PM | -32.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 01:00 PM | -32.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 12:14 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 11:19 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 06:02 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 12:28 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 05:30 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 07:16 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 05:09 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 09:35 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 08:24 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 06:56 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 02:44 PM | -- | -31.0 | -- |
| 10/15 12:04 PM | -- | -31.5 | -- |
| 10/15 06:27 AM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 05:10 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 04:24 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 12:44 PM | -- | -31.0 | -- |
| 10/14 12:32 PM | -31.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 11:54 AM | -- | -30.5 | -- |
| 10/14 11:48 AM | -30.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 10:25 AM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 09:54 AM | -- | -29.0 | -- |
| 10/14 08:33 AM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 01:24 AM | -- | -28.5 | -- |
| 10/14 01:08 AM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/13 07:33 PM | -- | -28.5 | -- |
| 10/13 07:22 PM | -28.5 | -- | -- |
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