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Baylor at Texas St
Sat Sep 4, 2021
7:00pm ET
San Marcos, TX
Baylor at Texas St: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Baylor by 13.5, Total Points: 52.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BAY | adv | TXST |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-8-1 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 1-6-1 | 3-3-0 | |
| Away | 2-2-0 | 4-3-0 |
Baylor Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Texas St | -26.5 | L by 11 | -37.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Utah | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LIU | -45.0 | W by 23 | -22.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Texas | +17.5 | L by 32 | -14.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | UCF | +8.0 | W by 1 | +9.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Texas Tech | +2.5 | L by 25 | -22.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Cincinnati | +2.5 | W by 3 | +5.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Iowa St | +3.0 | L by 12 | -9.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | Houston | -2.0 | L by 1 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Kansas St | +21.0 | L by 34 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | TX Christian | +13.0 | L by 25 | -12.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | W Virginia | +12.5 | L by 3 | +9.5 |
Texas St Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Baylor | +26.5 | W by 11 | +37.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | UTSA | +14.0 | L by 7 | +7.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Jackson State | -17.5 | W by 43 | +25.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Nevada | -17.0 | W by 11 | -6.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | S Mississippi | -6.5 | W by 14 | +7.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Louisiana | +1.0 | L by 4 | -3.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | UL Monroe | -18.5 | W by 1 | -17.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Troy | +6.5 | L by 18 | -11.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | GA Southern | -2.5 | W by 21 | +18.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Coastal Car | -2.5 | L by 8 | -10.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Arkansas St | -3.0 | L by 46 | -49.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | S Alabama | +6.5 | W by 8 | +14.5 |
| 12/26 | Neutral | Rice | -3.5 | W by 24 | +20.5 |
| BAY -13.5 | Open | -13.5 | High | -14.0 |
| Last | -14.0 | Low | -13.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 142 games where the closing line favored the away team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Baylor won the game 116 times (81.7%).
- The team like Texas State won the game 26 times (18.3%).
- The team like Baylor did better against the spread, going 74-66-2 (52.9% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 412 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Texas State did better against the spread, going 206-195-11 (51.4% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.5 | -13.5 | -- |
| Open | -13.5 | -13.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/04 07:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/04 06:59 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 06:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/04 06:05 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/04 05:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/04 05:29 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 04:54 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/04 04:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/04 04:06 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/04 03:46 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/04 03:20 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 03:17 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/04 02:26 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 02:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/04 02:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/04 01:54 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/04 01:11 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 01:06 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/04 12:54 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 10:32 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 09:29 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/04 01:14 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/03 04:05 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/02 08:59 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 10:50 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 06:59 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/01 06:59 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 04:08 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 04:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 03:44 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 03:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 02:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 02:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 01:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 12:37 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 12:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 11:54 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 11:04 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 10:34 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 10:14 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 09:54 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 09:34 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 08:54 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 08:14 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 08:02 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/01 07:35 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 07:14 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 06:44 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 06:24 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 05:55 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 04:04 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 03:55 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/01 02:45 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:46 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:07 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 09:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 08:59 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 08:44 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 07:54 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 07:35 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 07:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 07:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 06:50 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 05:27 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 04:46 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 04:19 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 03:06 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 02:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 02:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 02:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 01:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 12:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 12:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 11:45 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 11:24 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:44 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:24 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:04 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 09:54 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 08:34 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 04:34 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 04:14 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/31 03:40 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 08:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 07:54 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 07:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 07:15 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 06:54 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 06:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 06:11 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 06:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 05:54 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 05:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 04:54 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 04:44 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 04:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 03:41 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/30 02:59 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 01:14 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 12:47 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 11:44 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 09:05 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/25 10:47 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/22 12:08 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 06:04 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/12 05:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/12 05:14 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/10 09:15 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 08/06 12:23 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 07/11 01:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
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