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Duke at Middle Tenn
Sat Sep 14, 2019
7:00pm ET
Murfreesboro, TN
Duke at Middle Tenn: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Duke by 6.5, Total Points: 51
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | MTU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 4-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L2 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 3-7-0 | |
| Home | 4-3-0 | 2-4-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 2-4-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Home | Clemson | +12.0 | W by 21 | +33.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Lafayette | -43.5 | W by 35 | -8.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Northwestern | -17.0 | W by 24 | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Connecticut | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Notre Dame | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | NC State | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Louisville | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Carolina | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Virginia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Troy | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
Middle Tenn Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Alabama | +39.0 | L by 49 | -10.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Missouri | +21.0 | L by 4 | +17.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Murray St | -34.5 | W by 21 | -13.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Colorado St | -4.0 | L by 8 | -12.0 |
| 09/28 | Away | W Kentucky | +6.5 | L by 21 | -14.5 |
| 10/04 | Home | Jksnville St | -3.0 | L by 15 | -18.0 |
| 10/10 | Home | LA Tech | -3.0 | W by 8 | +5.0 |
| 10/17 | Away | Liberty | +16.0 | L by 7 | +9.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | N Mex State | +3.0 | L by 6 | -3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Florida Intl | -10.5 | W by 34 | +23.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | TX El Paso | -8.0 | W by 4 | -4.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Sam Hous St | -3.5 | L by 3 | -6.5 |
| DUKE -6.5 | Open | -6.0 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -7.0 | Low | -6.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 245 games where the closing line favored the away team by 5.5 to 7.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Duke won the game 170 times (69.4%)
- The team like Middle Tennessee won the game 75 times (30.6%)
- The team like Duke did better against the spread,
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 489 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 0.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Middle Tennessee did better against the spread, going 266-215-8 (55.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.3 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -6.5 | -6.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.5 | -6.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/14 07:21 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/14 07:10 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 06:45 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 06:16 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 03:46 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 12:22 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 11:54 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 10:54 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/14 10:23 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 12:41 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/13 11:51 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/12 04:34 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 08:48 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 08:29 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 03:43 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 12:30 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 12:00 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 08:02 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 10:42 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 05:44 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/10 12:14 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/10 11:47 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 11:34 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 09/10 11:14 AM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 09/10 10:55 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 09:11 AM | -5.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 07:33 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 11:34 AM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 09/09 09:56 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 09:07 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 06:47 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
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