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Duke vs. Alabama
Sat Aug 31, 2019
3:30pm ET
Atlanta, GA
(Neutral Site)
Duke vs. Alabama: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Alabama by 33.5, Total Points: 56
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | DUKE | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 9-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 5-5-0 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 4-3-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 3-3-0 | 4-3-0 |
Duke Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/04 | Home | Clemson | +12.0 | W by 21 | +33.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Lafayette | -43.5 | W by 35 | -8.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Northwestern | -17.0 | W by 24 | +7.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Connecticut | -22.0 | W by 34 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Notre Dame | +5.5 | L by 7 | -1.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | NC State | -3.5 | W by 21 | +17.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Florida St | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Louisville | +5.0 | L by 23 | -18.0 |
| 11/02 | Home | Wake Forest | -7.0 | W by 3 | -4.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | N Carolina | +10.0 | L by 2 | +8.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Virginia | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Pittsburgh | -4.5 | W by 11 | +6.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Troy | +6.5 | W by 7 | +13.5 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Middle Tenn | -39.0 | W by 49 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | L by 10 | -17.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | S Florida | -34.5 | W by 14 | -20.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Mississippi | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Miss State | -16.5 | W by 23 | +6.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Arkansas | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Tennessee | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | LSU | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Kentucky | -10.5 | W by 28 | +17.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Chattanooga | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Auburn | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Georgia | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Michigan | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| ALA -33.5 | Open | -30.5 | High | -35.0 |
| Last | -32.5 | Low | -30.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 55 games where the closing line favored the home team by 32.5 to 34.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Alabama won the game 55 times (100.0%)
- The team like Duke won the game 0 times (0.0%)
- The team like Duke did better against the spread, going 35-20 (63.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.6 points
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 158 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 81-76-1 (51.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -33.5 | -34.5 | -- |
| Open | -32.5 | -32.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 08/31 03:34 PM | -- | -34.5 | -- |
| 08/31 03:31 PM | -33.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 03:20 PM | -33.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 03:16 PM | -- | -34.5 | -- |
| 08/31 02:44 PM | -33.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 02:35 PM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 08/31 02:14 PM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 08/31 02:02 PM | -33.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 01:50 PM | -33.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 11:52 AM | -33.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 11:20 AM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 11:04 AM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 08/31 10:30 AM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 07:25 AM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 04:53 AM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/31 02:26 AM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 11:54 PM | -- | -33.0 | -- |
| 08/30 10:44 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/30 08:39 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 05:14 PM | -- | -32.5 | -- |
| 08/29 05:02 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 09:33 AM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 09:11 AM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 09:04 AM | -- | -34.0 | -- |
| 08/29 08:27 AM | -31.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/29 02:49 AM | -33.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 10:44 PM | -- | -33.0 | -- |
| 08/28 09:54 PM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 08/28 09:34 PM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 08/28 09:09 PM | -33.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 12:52 PM | -33.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/28 12:04 PM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 08/28 08:34 AM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 08/28 08:14 AM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 08/28 08:03 AM | -33.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 11:34 PM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 08/27 02:54 PM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 08/27 02:40 PM | -33.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/27 11:24 AM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 08/27 11:04 AM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 08/27 10:50 AM | -34.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/26 07:45 PM | -34.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/26 02:54 PM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 08/26 02:44 PM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 08/26 02:31 PM | -34.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/26 01:14 PM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 08/26 12:44 PM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 08/26 12:14 PM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 08/26 11:58 AM | -34.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/26 09:04 AM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 08/26 08:55 AM | -35.0 | -- | -- |
| 08/25 05:54 PM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 08/25 04:54 PM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 08/25 10:44 AM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 08/25 10:12 AM | -34.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/25 03:04 AM | -34.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/24 10:04 PM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 08/24 06:36 PM | -34.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/21 07:55 PM | -- | -35.0 | -- |
| 08/21 07:14 PM | -- | -34.5 | -- |
| 08/21 07:00 PM | -34.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/18 10:02 PM | -34.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/16 09:44 PM | -- | -34.5 | -- |
| 08/16 09:35 PM | -34.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/13 09:45 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 09:13 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 06:35 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 04:03 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 12:24 PM | -- | -34.0 | -- |
| 08/12 11:57 AM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/12 11:14 AM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 08/11 12:44 PM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 08/11 07:34 AM | -- | -33.5 | -- |
| 08/09 02:54 PM | -- | -32.5 | -- |
| 08/09 02:50 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/09 02:44 PM | -- | -33.0 | -- |
| 08/09 02:24 PM | -- | -33.0 | -- |
| 08/07 09:21 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/07 01:19 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/07 11:28 AM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/05 12:56 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 08/03 08:14 PM | -- | -33.0 | -- |
| 07/07 06:14 AM | -- | -32.5 | -- |
| 07/03 04:14 PM | -- | -32.5 | -- |
| 07/03 04:00 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 07/03 03:44 PM | -- | -32.5 | -- |
| 07/03 03:34 PM | -32.5 | -- | -- |
| 07/03 09:34 AM | -- | -32.5 | -- |
| 07/02 10:34 PM | -- | -32.5 | -- |
| 07/01 05:44 PM | -- | -32.5 | -- |
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