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Purdue vs. Northwestern
Sat Nov 20, 2021
12:00pm ET
Chicago, IL
(Neutral Site)
Purdue vs. Northwestern: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Purdue by 11, Total Points: 47.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | PUR | adv | NW |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 4-8-0 | 9-4-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-6-0 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | L2 | W7 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 5-0-0 | |
| Last 10 | 3-7-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 4-2-0 | |
| Away | 2-3-0 | 5-2-0 |
Purdue Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Fresno St | -4.0 | L by 4 | -8.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | VA Tech | +1.0 | W by 7 | +8.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Syracuse | +1.0 | L by 15 | -14.0 |
| 09/22 | Home | Wisconsin | +6.0 | L by 21 | -15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Illinois | +1.0 | W by 25 | +26.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Iowa | +2.0 | L by 6 | -4.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Ohio St | +17.0 | L by 34 | -17.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Nebraska | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Michigan | +31.0 | L by 28 | +3.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Minnesota | +2.0 | W by 19 | +21.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Northwestern | +2.5 | L by 8 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Indiana | -6.5 | W by 4 | -2.5 |
Northwestern Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Away | Rutgers | +5.0 | L by 17 | -12.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | TX El Paso | -1.0 | W by 31 | +30.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Duke | +17.0 | L by 24 | -7.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Minnesota | +12.0 | W by 3 | +15.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Penn St | +26.5 | L by 28 | -1.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Howard | -23.0 | W by 3 | -20.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Nebraska | +10.5 | L by 8 | +2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Maryland | +14.5 | W by 6 | +20.5 |
| 11/04 | Neutral | Iowa | +5.0 | L by 3 | +2.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Wisconsin | +12.5 | W by 14 | +26.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Purdue | -2.5 | W by 8 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Illinois | +6.5 | W by 2 | +8.5 |
| 12/23 | Neutral | Utah | +7.0 | W by 7 | +14.0 |
| PUR -11.0 | Open | +1.5 | High | -12.0 |
| Last | -11.5 | Low | +1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 150 games where the closing line favored the away team by 10 to 12 points. In these games:
- The team like Purdue won the game 123 times (82.0%).
- The team like Northwestern won the game 27 times (18.0%).
- The team like Purdue did better against the spread, going 81-67-2 (54.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 0 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 12.5 points more than the opening line.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -11.0 | -11.0 | -- |
| Open | -11.5 | -11.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 11/20 12:02 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 11:32 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 10:59 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 10:29 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 08:32 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 07:59 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 06:14 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 03:35 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/20 03:05 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 06:20 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 04:35 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 04:02 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 03:53 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/18 08:32 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 12:02 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/17 08:05 AM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 03:38 PM | -11.0 | -- | -- |
| 11/16 08:50 AM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
| 11/15 08:54 PM | -- | -11.0 | -- |
| 11/15 10:34 AM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
| 11/14 05:34 PM | -- | -11.5 | -- |
| 11/14 05:22 PM | -11.5 | -- | -- |
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