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Miss State at Alabama
Sat Oct 22, 2022
7:00pm ET
Tuscaloosa, AL
Miss State at Alabama: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Alabama by 21.5, Total Points: 61.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | ALA |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-8-1 | 9-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-6-1 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-7-1 | 7-3-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-1 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 1-3-0 | 4-3-0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
Alabama Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Middle Tenn | -39.0 | W by 49 | +10.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Texas | -7.0 | L by 10 | -17.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | S Florida | -34.5 | W by 14 | -20.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Mississippi | -7.0 | W by 14 | +7.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Miss State | -16.5 | W by 23 | +6.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Texas A&M | -2.5 | W by 6 | +3.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Arkansas | -19.0 | W by 3 | -16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Tennessee | -8.5 | W by 14 | +5.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | LSU | -3.0 | W by 14 | +11.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Kentucky | -10.5 | W by 28 | +17.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | Chattanooga | -44.0 | W by 56 | +12.0 |
| 11/25 | Away | Auburn | -13.5 | W by 3 | -10.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Georgia | +5.5 | W by 3 | +8.5 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Michigan | +2.0 | L by 7 | -5.0 |
| ALA -21.5 | Open | -20.5 | High | -22.0 |
| Last | -21.0 | Low | -17.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 110 games where the closing line favored the home team by 20.5 to 22.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Alabama won the game 100 times (90.9%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 10 times (9.1%).
- The team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 59-47-4 (55.7% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 2.1 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 422 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Alabama did better against the spread, going 209-208-5 (50.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.1 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -21.5 | -21.0 | -- |
| Open | -21.5 | -21.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/22 07:04 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/22 06:17 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 05:53 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:45 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/22 04:05 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/22 03:59 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 03:45 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/22 11:54 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/22 11:45 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/22 11:38 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 08:59 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 07:54 AM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/22 07:21 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 04:44 AM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/22 01:34 AM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/21 10:15 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/21 09:56 PM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 09:25 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/21 07:23 PM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 06:45 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/21 12:50 PM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 12:05 PM | -22.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/21 11:32 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 11:44 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 06:54 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/20 01:50 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 01:35 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/20 12:05 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 03:05 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/19 03:05 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/19 11:02 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/18 09:05 AM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/18 08:44 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 04:26 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 01:44 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/17 11:20 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 08:54 AM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/17 08:32 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/17 02:53 AM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 05:28 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/16 04:54 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
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