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Miss State at LSU
Sat Sep 26, 2020
3:30pm ET
Baton Rouge, LA
Miss State at LSU: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisiana St. by 14, Total Points: 57
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | LSU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-8-1 | 8-5-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-6-1 | 5-3-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-7-1 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-1 | 6-1-0 | |
| Away | 1-3-0 | 2-4-0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
LSU Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/03 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.5 | L by 21 | -22.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Grambling St | -57.0 | W by 62 | +5.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Miss State | -9.5 | W by 27 | +17.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Arkansas | -17.5 | W by 3 | -14.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Mississippi | -2.5 | L by 6 | -8.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | Missouri | -6.0 | W by 10 | +4.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Auburn | -11.0 | W by 30 | +19.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Army | -32.5 | W by 62 | +29.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Alabama | +3.0 | L by 14 | -11.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Florida | -16.0 | W by 17 | +1.0 |
| 11/18 | Home | Georgia St | -32.0 | W by 42 | +10.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Texas A&M | -11.0 | W by 12 | +1.0 |
| 01/01 | Neutral | Wisconsin | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| LSU -14.0 | Open | -17.5 | High | -19.0 |
| Last | -14.5 | Low | -14.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2015-2016 college football season there have been 202 games where the closing line favored the home team by 13.5 to 15.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisiana State won the game 166 times (82.2%).
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 36 times (17.8%).
- The team like Louisiana State did better against the spread, going 104-95-3 (52.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.0 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 5 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points less than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisiana State did better against the spread, going 5-0 (100.0% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 13.4 points.
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -14.5 | -14.5 | -- |
| Open | -18.5 | -18.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/26 03:35 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:26 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:14 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 09/26 02:56 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 02:29 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 01:34 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 09/26 01:11 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 12:56 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 12:26 PM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 12:24 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 09/26 11:56 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 11:54 AM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 09/26 11:26 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 11:24 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/26 10:44 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/26 10:14 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/26 09:59 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:11 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:50 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 06:50 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 05:29 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 02:35 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 05:35 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 03:41 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:29 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:53 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 02:26 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 01:38 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 11:59 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:05 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 12:50 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 07:05 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 04:05 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 11:05 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 08:17 AM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 11:20 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 08:38 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 03:24 PM | -- | -16.5 | -- |
| 09/21 03:08 PM | -16.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 02:44 PM | -- | -16.0 | -- |
| 09/21 02:14 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/21 12:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/21 11:14 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/21 10:24 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/21 10:14 AM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/21 10:11 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 08:54 AM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 09/21 08:26 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 07:50 AM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 05:53 PM | -- | -18.5 | -- |
| 09/20 05:47 PM | -18.5 | -- | -- |
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