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Miss State at Kentucky
Sat Oct 15, 2022
7:30pm ET
Lexington, KY
Miss State at Kentucky: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Mississippi St. by 3.5, Total Points: 50.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | MSST | adv | UK |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 3-8-1 | 7-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 1-6-1 | 3-5-0 | |
| Streak | P1 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-3-1 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 2-7-1 | 5-5-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-1 | 3-4-0 | |
| Away | 1-3-0 | 4-2-0 |
Miss State Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | SE Louisiana | -31.5 | W by 41 | +9.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Arizona | -9.0 | W by 7 | -2.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | LSU | +9.5 | L by 27 | -17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | S Carolina | +6.0 | L by 7 | -1.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Alabama | +16.5 | L by 23 | -6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | W Michigan | -21.5 | W by 13 | -8.5 |
| 10/21 | Away | Arkansas | +7.0 | W by 4 | +11.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | Auburn | +6.5 | L by 14 | -7.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Kentucky | +5.5 | L by 21 | -15.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Texas A&M | +16.5 | L by 41 | -24.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | S Mississippi | -18.5 | W by 21 | +2.5 |
| 11/23 | Home | Mississippi | +10.0 | L by 10 | 0.0 |
Kentucky Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | Ball St | -25.5 | W by 30 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | E Kentucky | -34.5 | W by 11 | -23.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Akron | -25.5 | W by 32 | +6.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Vanderbilt | -13.0 | W by 17 | +4.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Florida | -1.0 | W by 19 | +18.0 |
| 10/07 | Away | Georgia | +14.5 | L by 38 | -23.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Missouri | -1.5 | L by 17 | -18.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Tennessee | +4.0 | L by 6 | -2.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Miss State | -5.5 | W by 21 | +15.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Alabama | +10.5 | L by 28 | -17.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | S Carolina | +2.5 | L by 3 | -0.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Louisville | +7.5 | W by 7 | +14.5 |
| 12/29 | Neutral | Clemson | +3.5 | L by 3 | +0.5 |
| MSST -3.5 | Open | -1.5 | High | -7.0 |
| Last | -4.0 | Low | -1.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 372 games where the closing line favored the away team by 2.5 to 4.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Mississippi State won the game 200 times (53.8%).
- The team like Kentucky won the game 172 times (46.2%).
- The team like Kentucky did better against the spread, going 195-169-8 (53.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 217 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Mississippi State did better against the spread, going 109-105-3 (50.9% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -3.5 | -3.5 | -- |
| Open | -6.0 | -5.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/15 07:25 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 06:46 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 06:34 PM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/15 06:25 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/15 06:23 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 04:19 PM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 11:47 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 10:47 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 08:44 AM | -- | -3.5 | -- |
| 10/15 08:32 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 08:02 AM | -3.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/15 05:14 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 05:56 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 02:53 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/14 04:27 AM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 09:17 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 01:05 PM | -- | -4.0 | -- |
| 10/12 12:53 PM | -4.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/12 08:08 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/11 06:45 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/11 06:25 PM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/11 05:56 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 03:47 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 03:29 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 12:56 PM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 10:14 AM | -- | -7.0 | -- |
| 10/10 09:26 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 05:53 AM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/10 03:20 AM | -7.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 10:14 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/09 09:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/09 09:20 PM | -6.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 08:34 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/09 07:34 PM | -- | -6.5 | -- |
| 10/09 06:26 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 05:44 PM | -- | -6.0 | -- |
| 10/09 05:28 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/09 05:24 PM | -- | -5.5 | -- |
| 10/09 03:37 PM | -6.0 | -- | -- |
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