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S Florida at Louisville
Sat Sep 24, 2022
12:00pm ET
Louisville, KY
S Florida at Louisville: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Louisville by 15.5, Total Points: 63.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | USF | adv | LOU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 6-8-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 4-5-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L3 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 1-4-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 4-6-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 5-2-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 1-6-0 |
S Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | W Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 17 | -4.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Florida A&M | -20.5 | W by 14 | -6.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Alabama | +34.5 | L by 14 | +20.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rice | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Navy | +3.5 | W by 14 | +17.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | UAB | -3.0 | L by 21 | -24.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Fla Atlantic | -3.0 | L by 42 | -45.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Connecticut | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Memphis | +12.5 | L by 9 | +3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Temple | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | UTSA | +14.5 | L by 28 | -13.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Charlotte | -7.0 | W by 34 | +27.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Syracuse | +3.0 | W by 45 | +48.0 |
Louisville Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Neutral | GA Tech | -7.0 | W by 5 | -2.0 |
| 09/07 | Home | Murray St | -43.5 | W by 56 | +12.5 |
| 09/16 | Neutral | Indiana | -10.0 | W by 7 | -3.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Boston Col | -14.0 | W by 28 | +14.0 |
| 09/29 | Away | NC State | -3.5 | W by 3 | -0.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Notre Dame | +6.5 | W by 13 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | Pittsburgh | -7.0 | L by 17 | -24.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Duke | -5.0 | W by 23 | +18.0 |
| 11/04 | Home | VA Tech | -9.0 | W by 31 | +22.0 |
| 11/09 | Home | Virginia | -20.0 | W by 7 | -13.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Miami | (Pick) | W by 7 | +7.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Kentucky | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Florida St | -1.0 | L by 10 | -11.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | USC | -5.0 | L by 14 | -19.0 |
| LOU -15.5 | Open | -13.5 | High | -15.5 |
| Last | -14.5 | Low | -13.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2017-2018 college football season there have been 131 games where the closing line favored the home team by 14.5 to 16.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Louisville won the game 112 times (85.5%).
- The team like South Florida won the game 19 times (14.5%).
- The team like South Florida did better against the spread, going 67-64 (51.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.4 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2019-2020 college football season there have been 203 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Louisville did better against the spread, going 101-100-2 (50.2% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -15.5 | -15.5 | -- |
| Open | -13.5 | -13.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/24 12:04 PM | -- | -15.5 | -- |
| 09/24 11:53 AM | -15.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 10:47 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 10:29 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 08:53 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 08:14 AM | -15.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 07:59 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 02:36 AM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 10:35 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:54 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 02:53 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 11:54 PM | -- | -15.0 | -- |
| 09/22 11:29 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 07:50 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 12:17 PM | -14.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 10:50 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/21 09:50 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 07:16 PM | -- | -14.5 | -- |
| 09/20 06:20 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 11:24 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/20 11:20 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/20 11:05 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 08:53 AM | -13.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/19 08:14 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 06:34 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/18 06:24 PM | -- | -13.0 | -- |
| 09/18 05:07 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
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