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Buffalo at Nebraska
Sat Sep 11, 2021
3:30pm ET
Lincoln, NE
Buffalo at Nebraska: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Nebraska by 13.5, Total Points: 54
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BUFF | adv | NEB |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 4-7-1 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 3-5-1 | |
| Streak | L4 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 1-3-1 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 3-6-1 | |
| Home | 1-5-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 2-2-1 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +28.5 | L by 21 | +7.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Fordham | -22.0 | L by 3 | -25.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Liberty | +3.0 | L by 28 | -25.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Louisiana | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Akron | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Central Mich | +2.5 | W by 24 | +26.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Bowling Grn | -3.0 | L by 10 | -13.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Kent St | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | Toledo | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Ohio | +9.0 | L by 10 | -1.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | Miami (OH) | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | E Michigan | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
Nebraska Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/31 | Away | Minnesota | +7.5 | L by 3 | +4.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | Colorado | +2.5 | L by 22 | -19.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | N Illinois | -11.5 | W by 24 | +12.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | LA Tech | -20.0 | W by 14 | -6.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Michigan | +17.5 | L by 38 | -20.5 |
| 10/06 | Away | Illinois | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Northwestern | -10.5 | W by 8 | -2.5 |
| 10/28 | Home | Purdue | +1.5 | W by 17 | +18.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Michigan St | -3.0 | L by 3 | -6.0 |
| 11/11 | Home | Maryland | +1.5 | L by 3 | -1.5 |
| 11/18 | Away | Wisconsin | +7.0 | L by 7 | 0.0 |
| 11/24 | Home | Iowa | -2.5 | L by 3 | -5.5 |
| NEB -13.5 | Open | -12.0 | High | -14.0 |
| Last | -14.0 | Low | -12.0 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 214 games where the closing line favored the home team by 12.5 to 14.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Nebraska won the game 177 times (82.7%).
- The team like Buffalo won the game 37 times (17.3%).
- The team like Nebraska did better against the spread, going 105-104-5 (50.2% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.5 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 235 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 1.5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Nebraska went 115-115-5 (50.0% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -13.5 | -13.5 | -- |
| Open | -12.0 | -12.0 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/11 03:44 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/11 03:38 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 03:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/11 03:02 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 02:55 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 02:38 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 02:34 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 02:02 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 01:54 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 01:46 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 01:41 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 01:24 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 01:23 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 01:05 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 12:54 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 12:44 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 12:24 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 12:23 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 10:59 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 10:24 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 09:54 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 09:35 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 09:14 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 09:04 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 08:06 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 07:54 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 07:47 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 07:24 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 07:20 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 07:14 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 06:44 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 05:32 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 04:14 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 04:01 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/11 02:53 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 02:34 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/10 09:24 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/10 06:23 PM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 09:11 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 04:44 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/09 01:08 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/09 12:54 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/09 12:45 PM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/09 11:34 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/09 11:15 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/09 10:34 AM | -- | -14.0 | -- |
| 09/09 10:11 AM | -14.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 12:32 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 12:14 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/08 10:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/08 10:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/08 09:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/08 07:38 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 07:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/08 07:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/08 06:44 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/08 03:32 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 01:24 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/08 11:44 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/08 08:02 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 07:44 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/08 07:28 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/08 06:41 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 08:47 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 07:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/07 07:14 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/07 06:56 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/07 06:34 PM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/07 05:47 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 10:11 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 04:20 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 03:41 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 03:11 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 02:02 PM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 11:24 AM | -- | -13.5 | -- |
| 09/06 11:11 AM | -13.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 09:26 AM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 09:38 PM | -12.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 09:32 PM | -- | -12.0 | -- |
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