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S Florida at S Methodist
Sat Oct 2, 2021
4:00pm ET
Dallas, TX
S Florida at S Methodist: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern Methodist by 21.5, Total Points: 68.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | USF | adv | SMU |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 7-6-0 | 8-6-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-4-0 | 6-3-0 | |
| Streak | W2 | L1 | |
| Last 5 | 3-2-0 | 3-2-0 | |
| Last 10 | 6-4-0 | 6-4-0 | |
| Home | 3-3-0 | 5-1-0 | |
| Away | 4-3-0 | 3-5-0 |
S Florida Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | W Kentucky | +13.0 | L by 17 | -4.0 |
| 09/09 | Home | Florida A&M | -20.5 | W by 14 | -6.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Alabama | +34.5 | L by 14 | +20.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Rice | +3.0 | W by 13 | +16.0 |
| 09/30 | Away | Navy | +3.5 | W by 14 | +17.5 |
| 10/07 | Away | UAB | -3.0 | L by 21 | -24.0 |
| 10/14 | Home | Fla Atlantic | -3.0 | L by 42 | -45.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Connecticut | +1.0 | W by 3 | +4.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Memphis | +12.5 | L by 9 | +3.5 |
| 11/11 | Home | Temple | -7.0 | W by 4 | -3.0 |
| 11/17 | Away | UTSA | +14.5 | L by 28 | -13.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Charlotte | -7.0 | W by 34 | +27.0 |
| 12/21 | Neutral | Syracuse | +3.0 | W by 45 | +48.0 |
S Methodist Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Home | LA Tech | -21.0 | W by 24 | +3.0 |
| 09/09 | Away | Oklahoma | +16.0 | L by 17 | -1.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Prairie View A&M | -42.5 | W by 69 | +26.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | TX Christian | +6.5 | L by 17 | -10.5 |
| 09/30 | Home | Charlotte | -22.5 | W by 18 | -4.5 |
| 10/12 | Away | E Carolina | -11.5 | W by 21 | +9.5 |
| 10/20 | Away | Temple | -24.0 | W by 55 | +31.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Tulsa | -20.5 | W by 59 | +38.5 |
| 11/04 | Away | Rice | -13.0 | W by 5 | -8.0 |
| 11/10 | Home | North Texas | -21.0 | W by 24 | +3.0 |
| 11/18 | Away | Memphis | -9.5 | W by 4 | -5.5 |
| 11/25 | Home | Navy | -20.5 | W by 45 | +24.5 |
| 12/02 | Away | Tulane | +2.5 | W by 12 | +14.5 |
| 12/28 | Neutral | Boston Col | -13.5 | L by 9 | -22.5 |
| SMU -21.5 | Open | -19.5 | High | -21.5 |
| Last | -21.0 | Low | -19.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 102 games where the closing line favored the home team by 20.5 to 22.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern Methodist won the game 93 times (91.2%).
- The team like South Florida won the game 9 times (8.8%).
- The team like South Florida did better against the spread, going 56-43-3 (56.6% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 1.6 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 216 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 2 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Southern Methodist did better against the spread, going 111-103-2 (51.9% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -21.5 | -21.5 | -- |
| Open | -20.0 | -20.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 10/02 04:04 PM | -- | -21.5 | -- |
| 10/02 03:56 PM | -21.5 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 03:05 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 02:54 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/02 02:44 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/02 02:35 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 02:14 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/02 01:54 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/02 01:34 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/02 01:24 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/02 01:04 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/02 12:24 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/02 12:04 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/02 11:34 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/02 11:26 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:54 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/02 10:34 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/02 10:32 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 10:25 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/02 10:02 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/02 08:29 AM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 10:04 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:53 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 09:04 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:35 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:14 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:04 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 07:47 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 05:32 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 01:38 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 10/01 01:35 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 01:05 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 12:34 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 11:54 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 11:04 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 10:44 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 10:05 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:34 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 09:14 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:34 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 08:04 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 07:34 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 07:14 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 06:44 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 06:25 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 05:04 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 03:34 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 10/01 03:14 AM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 09/29 07:50 PM | -21.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 06:23 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/29 02:24 PM | -- | -21.0 | -- |
| 09/29 08:02 AM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 04:09 AM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 07:04 PM | -- | -20.5 | -- |
| 09/26 06:34 PM | -20.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 04:58 PM | -20.0 | -- | -- |
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