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Buffalo at Miami (OH)
Sat Sep 28, 2019
12:00pm ET
Oxford, OH
Buffalo at Miami (OH): Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Buffalo by 2.5, Total Points: 47.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | BUFF | adv | M-OH |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 11-3-0 | |
| vs Conference | 3-5-0 | 7-2-0 | |
| Streak | L4 | W2 | |
| Last 5 | 1-4-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 8-2-0 | |
| Home | 1-5-0 | 4-1-0 | |
| Away | 4-2-0 | 7-2-0 |
Buffalo Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/02 | Away | Wisconsin | +28.5 | L by 21 | +7.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Fordham | -22.0 | L by 3 | -25.0 |
| 09/16 | Home | Liberty | +3.0 | L by 28 | -25.0 |
| 09/23 | Away | Louisiana | +10.5 | L by 7 | +3.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Akron | +3.0 | W by 3 | +6.0 |
| 10/07 | Home | Central Mich | +2.5 | W by 24 | +26.5 |
| 10/14 | Home | Bowling Grn | -3.0 | L by 10 | -13.0 |
| 10/21 | Away | Kent St | -6.5 | W by 18 | +11.5 |
| 10/31 | Away | Toledo | +14.5 | L by 18 | -3.5 |
| 11/07 | Home | Ohio | +9.0 | L by 10 | -1.0 |
| 11/15 | Away | Miami (OH) | +7.5 | L by 13 | -5.5 |
| 11/21 | Home | E Michigan | -5.5 | L by 13 | -18.5 |
Miami (OH) Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Away | Miami | +16.5 | L by 35 | -18.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | U Mass | -7.0 | W by 13 | +6.0 |
| 09/16 | Away | Cincinnati | +14.0 | W by 7 | +21.0 |
| 09/23 | Home | Delaware State | -39.5 | W by 42 | +2.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Kent St | -13.5 | W by 20 | +6.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Bowling Grn | -7.5 | W by 27 | +19.5 |
| 10/14 | Away | W Michigan | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 10/21 | Home | Toledo | +2.5 | L by 4 | -1.5 |
| 10/28 | Away | Ohio | +7.5 | W by 14 | +21.5 |
| 11/08 | Home | Akron | -17.0 | W by 19 | +2.0 |
| 11/15 | Home | Buffalo | -7.5 | W by 13 | +5.5 |
| 11/25 | Away | Ball St | -4.0 | W by 2 | -2.0 |
| 12/02 | Neutral | Toledo | +6.5 | W by 9 | +15.5 |
| 12/16 | Neutral | App State | +6.5 | L by 4 | +2.5 |
| BUFF -2.5 | Open | +2.5 | High | -3.0 |
| Last | -3.0 | Low | +2.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2014-2015 college football season there have been 354 games where the closing line favored the away team by 1.5 to 3.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Buffalo won the game 214 times (60.5%).
- The team like Miami (Ohio) won the game 140 times (39.5%).
- The team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 178-169-7 (51.3% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.8 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 29 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 5 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Buffalo did better against the spread, going 15-14 (51.7% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -2.5 | -2.5 | -- |
| Open | +2.0 | +2.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/28 12:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/28 12:01 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 11:55 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 11:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/28 11:23 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 11:04 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/28 10:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/28 10:53 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 10:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/28 10:10 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 09:39 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 09:14 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/28 05:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/28 03:54 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/28 03:51 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 11:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/27 07:34 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/27 02:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/27 02:38 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/27 01:14 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/27 12:54 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/27 12:45 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 09:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 09:09 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 08:14 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 08:04 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 05:44 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 05:28 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 03:24 PM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 03:15 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 09:44 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 09:24 AM | -- | -3.0 | -- |
| 09/26 09:14 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/26 09:07 AM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/26 01:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/26 01:29 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:18 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 08:04 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 07:53 PM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 04:44 PM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 04:30 PM | -3.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 10:24 AM | -- | -2.0 | -- |
| 09/25 08:44 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 08:37 AM | -2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/25 08:34 AM | -- | -2.5 | -- |
| 09/25 01:44 AM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/25 01:20 AM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 09:34 PM | -- | -1.0 | -- |
| 09/24 09:26 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 08:50 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 07:54 PM | -- | +1.0 | -- |
| 09/24 07:36 PM | -1.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 04:08 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 03:24 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/24 06:38 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:21 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 05:44 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 05:34 PM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 09/23 05:13 PM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 03:33 PM | +2.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 11:44 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/23 11:36 AM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 10:54 AM | -- | +2.0 | -- |
| 09/23 10:40 AM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 10:24 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 09:03 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/23 08:44 AM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/23 08:14 AM | -- | +1.5 | -- |
| 09/23 08:02 AM | +1.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 11:06 PM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/22 10:54 PM | -- | +2.5 | -- |
| 09/22 07:06 PM | +2.0 | -- | -- |
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