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Stanford at USC
Sat Sep 11, 2021
10:30pm ET
Los Angeles, CA
Stanford at USC: Point Spread Analysis
Odds: Southern California by 17.5, Total Points: 53.5
ATS Situational Trends
| Record | STAN | adv | USC |
|---|---|---|---|
| Season | 5-7-0 | 4-9-0 | |
| vs Conference | 4-5-0 | 2-7-0 | |
| Streak | L3 | W1 | |
| Last 5 | 2-3-0 | 2-3-0 | |
| Last 10 | 4-6-0 | 2-8-0 | |
| Home | 2-5-0 | 2-5-0 | |
| Away | 3-2-0 | 2-4-0 |
Stanford Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09/01 | Away | Hawaii | -2.5 | W by 13 | +10.5 |
| 09/09 | Away | USC | +28.5 | L by 46 | -17.5 |
| 09/16 | Home | Sacramento State | -7.5 | L by 7 | -14.5 |
| 09/23 | Home | Arizona | +13.0 | L by 1 | +12.0 |
| 09/30 | Home | Oregon | +27.0 | L by 36 | -9.0 |
| 10/13 | Away | Colorado | +13.0 | W by 3 | +16.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | UCLA | +17.0 | L by 35 | -18.0 |
| 10/28 | Home | Washington | +28.0 | L by 9 | +19.0 |
| 11/04 | Away | Wash State | +14.0 | W by 3 | +17.0 |
| 11/11 | Away | Oregon St | +21.5 | L by 45 | -23.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | California | +7.0 | L by 12 | -5.0 |
| 11/25 | Home | Notre Dame | +26.0 | L by 33 | -7.0 |
USC Detailed ATS Performance
| Date | H/A/N | Opponent | Line | Result | +/- |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/26 | Home | San Jose St | -31.0 | W by 28 | -3.0 |
| 09/02 | Home | Nevada | -37.5 | W by 52 | +14.5 |
| 09/09 | Home | Stanford | -28.5 | W by 46 | +17.5 |
| 09/23 | Away | Arizona St | -34.5 | W by 14 | -20.5 |
| 09/30 | Away | Colorado | -21.5 | W by 7 | -14.5 |
| 10/07 | Home | Arizona | -21.0 | W by 2 | -19.0 |
| 10/14 | Away | Notre Dame | +3.0 | L by 28 | -25.0 |
| 10/21 | Home | Utah | -7.0 | L by 2 | -9.0 |
| 10/28 | Away | California | -10.5 | W by 1 | -9.5 |
| 11/04 | Home | Washington | +2.5 | L by 10 | -7.5 |
| 11/11 | Away | Oregon | +16.5 | L by 9 | +7.5 |
| 11/18 | Home | UCLA | -5.0 | L by 18 | -23.0 |
| 12/27 | Neutral | Louisville | +5.0 | W by 14 | +19.0 |
| USC -17.5 | Open | -14.5 | High | -17.5 |
| Last | -17.0 | Low | -13.5 |
Line Movement
The chart above graphs odds data from a leading global sportsbook. Chart times are your local time zone.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Lines
Since the start of the 2016-2017 college football season there have been 181 games where the closing line favored the home team by 16.5 to 18.5 points. In these games:
- The team like Southern California won the game 161 times (89.0%).
- The team like Stanford won the game 20 times (11.0%).
- The team like Southern California did better against the spread, going 94-83-4 (53.1% ATS) and covering the spread by an average of 0.7 points.
Historical Results of Games with Similar Line Movement
Since the start of the 2018-2019 college football season there have been 106 games where the closing line favored the initial favorite by 3 points more than the opening line.
In these games, the team like Stanford did better against the spread, going 55-51 (51.9% ATS).
Spread History
The table below lists odds from three leading global sportsbooks. Times below are Eastern time zone.
| Book 1 | Book 2 | Book 3 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Current | -18.0 | -17.0 | -- |
| Open | -17.5 | -17.5 | -- |
| History | |||
| 09/11 10:21 PM | -18.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 09:45 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 09:19 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 08:14 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 07:57 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/11 07:37 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/11 07:32 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 06:26 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 05:44 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 04:17 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 03:16 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/11 03:04 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/11 09:44 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 08:11 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/11 12:17 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 06:23 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 01:32 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/10 09:11 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 06:08 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/09 12:20 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/08 08:02 AM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 07:50 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/07 04:55 PM | -- | -17.0 | -- |
| 09/07 04:47 PM | -17.0 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 11:56 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 04:32 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 03:17 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/06 02:02 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
| 09/05 09:32 PM | -- | -17.5 | -- |
| 09/05 09:31 PM | -17.5 | -- | -- |
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